Recent August PPI data, showing a 5.4% year-over-year rise that exceeded the 5.3% consensus amid a 4.2% monthly surge in energy prices, has shaped trader views on the September reading. Elevated oil and diesel costs, linked to geopolitical supply disruptions, have sustained upstream pressures, while core measures excluding food and energy rose more modestly at 4.6%. With Polymarket outcomes clustered between ≤5.0% at 41.5% implied probability and 5.9%+ at 33.5%, positioning reflects uncertainty over whether energy-driven gains will persist or moderate into final demand. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and October 15 PPI print, alongside any shifts in Treasury yields or Fed communications that could alter rate expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert≤5,0 % 49%
5,9 %+ 34%
5,1 % 29%
5,6% 23%
≤5,0 %
49%
5,1 %
29%
5,2 %
16%
5,3 %
19%
5,4 %
14%
5,5 %
15%
5,6%
23%
5,7 %
17%
5,8 %
16%
5,9 %+
34%
≤5,0 % 49%
5,9 %+ 34%
5,1 % 29%
5,6% 23%
≤5,0 %
49%
5,1 %
29%
5,2 %
16%
5,3 %
19%
5,4 %
14%
5,5 %
15%
5,6%
23%
5,7 %
17%
5,8 %
16%
5,9 %+
34%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 11, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on October 15, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent August PPI data, showing a 5.4% year-over-year rise that exceeded the 5.3% consensus amid a 4.2% monthly surge in energy prices, has shaped trader views on the September reading. Elevated oil and diesel costs, linked to geopolitical supply disruptions, have sustained upstream pressures, while core measures excluding food and energy rose more modestly at 4.6%. With Polymarket outcomes clustered between ≤5.0% at 41.5% implied probability and 5.9%+ at 33.5%, positioning reflects uncertainty over whether energy-driven gains will persist or moderate into final demand. Key near-term catalysts include the September CPI release and October 15 PPI print, alongside any shifts in Treasury yields or Fed communications that could alter rate expectations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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