Recent polling in Sergipe shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats, with Delegado André David and Rogério Carvalho registering the strongest support in surveys from CTAS and Quaest, followed closely by André Moura and Eduardo Amorim. High undecided shares and split-ticket voting for the dual seats keep probabilities for second place tightly clustered among the leading contenders. Party coalitions, including the PT-União alliance backing Carvalho and Moura, and Republicanos support for David and Amorim, shape turnout dynamics ahead of the October 4 first round. Limited late shifts in voter preferences or campaign events could separate the top finishers, as current data leaves room for movement in the final weeks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertDelegado André David 30.9%
Rogerio Carvalho 28%
André Moura 20%
Eduardo Amorim 13%
$30,356 Vol.
$30,356 Vol.

Delegado André David
31%

Rogerio Carvalho
28%

André Moura
20%

Eduardo Amorim
13%

Rodrigo Valadares
2%

Delegado Alessandro
1%

Edvaldo
1%

Paulinho da União Tur
<1%

Renatinha
<1%

Coronel Rocha
<1%

Iran Barbosa
<1%
Delegado André David 30.9%
Rogerio Carvalho 28%
André Moura 20%
Eduardo Amorim 13%
$30,356 Vol.
$30,356 Vol.

Delegado André David
31%

Rogerio Carvalho
28%

André Moura
20%

Eduardo Amorim
13%

Rodrigo Valadares
2%

Delegado Alessandro
1%

Edvaldo
1%

Paulinho da União Tur
<1%

Renatinha
<1%

Coronel Rocha
<1%

Iran Barbosa
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Markt eröffnet: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Sergipe shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats, with Delegado André David and Rogério Carvalho registering the strongest support in surveys from CTAS and Quaest, followed closely by André Moura and Eduardo Amorim. High undecided shares and split-ticket voting for the dual seats keep probabilities for second place tightly clustered among the leading contenders. Party coalitions, including the PT-União alliance backing Carvalho and Moura, and Republicanos support for David and Amorim, shape turnout dynamics ahead of the October 4 first round. Limited late shifts in voter preferences or campaign events could separate the top finishers, as current data leaves room for movement in the final weeks.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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