Recent August 2026 CPI data showed monthly inflation slowing to 1.7%, the lowest in 14 months, with the year-over-year rate at 33.5%, reinforcing trader focus on the pace of disinflation under continued fiscal surpluses and exchange-rate stability. Official projections now target 29% for December 2026, aligning closely with private consensus around 30%, while IMF estimates point toward 25%. The narrow split between the 30.0-34.9% (52.3%) and 25-29.9% (45.5%) brackets reflects uncertainty over residual price inertia, regulated-sector adjustments, and any renewed energy-price pressures that could slow convergence versus the baseline trajectory of monetary re-monetization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated30.0-34.9% 52.3%
25-29.9% 46%
35–39.9% 2.1%
45%+ 1.8%
$50,410 Vol.
$50,410 Vol.
<20%
<1%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
46%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
2%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 52.3%
25-29.9% 46%
35–39.9% 2.1%
45%+ 1.8%
$50,410 Vol.
$50,410 Vol.
<20%
<1%
20-24.9%
1%
25-29.9%
46%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
2%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent August 2026 CPI data showed monthly inflation slowing to 1.7%, the lowest in 14 months, with the year-over-year rate at 33.5%, reinforcing trader focus on the pace of disinflation under continued fiscal surpluses and exchange-rate stability. Official projections now target 29% for December 2026, aligning closely with private consensus around 30%, while IMF estimates point toward 25%. The narrow split between the 30.0-34.9% (52.3%) and 25-29.9% (45.5%) brackets reflects uncertainty over residual price inertia, regulated-sector adjustments, and any renewed energy-price pressures that could slow convergence versus the baseline trajectory of monetary re-monetization.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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