Cid Gomes (PSB) leads the Ceará Senate race for first place at 77.5% in the market, reflecting consistent polling leads of 23-27% in consolidated first- and second-choice votes across recent surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data through early September. His incumbency as the sitting senator, high name recognition, and official nomination by the PSB in August as part of the alliance backing Governor Elmano de Freitas position him ahead of challengers. Capitão Wagner (União Brasil) follows at 13%, drawing opposition support aligned with Ciro Gomes, while Luizianne Lins (Rede) registers 6.2% on the government ticket. Other listed candidates remain below 1%, consistent with their lower visibility and polling shares. The October 4 election timeline and two-seat structure favor candidates with established voter bases in the first-preference count.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCid Gomes 78%
Capitão Wagner 11%
Luizianne 5.7%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$23,167 Vol.
$23,167 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
78%
Capitão Wagner
11%
Luizianne
6%
Alcides Fernandes
1%
Lino Alves
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Cid Gomes 78%
Capitão Wagner 11%
Luizianne 5.7%
Alcides Fernandes <1%
$23,167 Vol.
$23,167 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Cid Gomes
$15,438 Vol.
78%
Capitão Wagner
$2,701 Vol.
11%
Luizianne
$1,258 Vol.
6%
Alcides Fernandes
$857 Vol.
1%
Lino Alves
$840 Vol.
<1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$654 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$650 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$769 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB) leads the Ceará Senate race for first place at 77.5% in the market, reflecting consistent polling leads of 23-27% in consolidated first- and second-choice votes across recent surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data through early September. His incumbency as the sitting senator, high name recognition, and official nomination by the PSB in August as part of the alliance backing Governor Elmano de Freitas position him ahead of challengers. Capitão Wagner (União Brasil) follows at 13%, drawing opposition support aligned with Ciro Gomes, while Luizianne Lins (Rede) registers 6.2% on the government ticket. Other listed candidates remain below 1%, consistent with their lower visibility and polling shares. The October 4 election timeline and two-seat structure favor candidates with established voter bases in the first-preference count.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$23,167End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cid Gomes (PSB) leads the Ceará Senate race for first place at 77.5% in the market, reflecting consistent polling leads of 23-27% in consolidated first- and second-choice votes across recent surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data through early September. His incumbency as the sitting senator, high name recognition, and official nomination by the PSB in August as part of the alliance backing Governor Elmano de Freitas position him ahead of challengers. Capitão Wagner (União Brasil) follows at 13%, drawing opposition support aligned with Ciro Gomes, while Luizianne Lins (Rede) registers 6.2% on the government ticket. Other listed candidates remain below 1%, consistent with their lower visibility and polling shares. The October 4 election timeline and two-seat structure favor candidates with established voter bases in the first-preference count.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$23,167End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cid Gomes (PSB) leads the Ceará Senate race for first place at 77.5% in the market, reflecting consistent polling leads of 23-27% in consolidated first- and second-choice votes across recent surveys from Datafolha, Quaest, and Real Time Big Data through early September. His incumbency as the sitting senator, high name recognition, and official nomination by the PSB in August as part of the alliance backing Governor Elmano de Freitas position him ahead of challengers. Capitão Wagner (União Brasil) follows at 13%, drawing opposition support aligned with Ciro Gomes, while Luizianne Lins (Rede) registers 6.2% on the government ticket. Other listed candidates remain below 1%, consistent with their lower visibility and polling shares. The October 4 election timeline and two-seat structure favor candidates with established voter bases in the first-preference count.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions