Recent polling in Sergipe's Senate race shows Delegado André David, Rogério Carvalho, and André Moura in a tight contest for top vote totals, with Eduardo Amorim and others close behind amid 20-70% undecided or blank responses across surveys. Official candidate registrations closed in August, formalizing alliances such as Muda Sergipe com a Força do Povo and Sergipe Cresce com Você, while each voter selects two names for the state's two seats. High fragmentation, late-deciding voters, and shifting first- and second-choice preferences have kept implied probabilities clustered near even among frontrunners. Scheduled debates, alliance adjustments, or turnout shifts in the final weeks before the October 4 first round could widen gaps in vote shares.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelegado André David 37%
Rogerio Carvalho 34.7%
Rodrigo Valadares 2.7%
Eduardo Amorim 1.0%
$33,169 Vol.
$33,169 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado André David
37%
Rogerio Carvalho
35%
Rodrigo Valadares
3%
Eduardo Amorim
1%
Iran Barbosa
1%
Paulinho da União Tur
1%
Delegado Alessandro
1%
Edvaldo
<1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Renatinha
<1%
André Moura
32%
Delegado André David 37%
Rogerio Carvalho 34.7%
Rodrigo Valadares 2.7%
Eduardo Amorim 1.0%
$33,169 Vol.
$33,169 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Delegado André David
$17,991 Vol.
37%
Rogerio Carvalho
$3,725 Vol.
35%
Rodrigo Valadares
$560 Vol.
3%
Eduardo Amorim
$1,439 Vol.
1%
Iran Barbosa
$461 Vol.
1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$324 Vol.
1%
Delegado Alessandro
$764 Vol.
1%
Edvaldo
$409 Vol.
<1%
Coronel Rocha
$435 Vol.
<1%
Renatinha
$455 Vol.
<1%
André Moura
$6,607 Vol.
32%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Sergipe's Senate race shows Delegado André David, Rogério Carvalho, and André Moura in a tight contest for top vote totals, with Eduardo Amorim and others close behind amid 20-70% undecided or blank responses across surveys. Official candidate registrations closed in August, formalizing alliances such as Muda Sergipe com a Força do Povo and Sergipe Cresce com Você, while each voter selects two names for the state's two seats. High fragmentation, late-deciding voters, and shifting first- and second-choice preferences have kept implied probabilities clustered near even among frontrunners. Scheduled debates, alliance adjustments, or turnout shifts in the final weeks before the October 4 first round could widen gaps in vote shares.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Volume
$33,169End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Sergipe's Senate race shows Delegado André David, Rogério Carvalho, and André Moura in a tight contest for top vote totals, with Eduardo Amorim and others close behind amid 20-70% undecided or blank responses across surveys. Official candidate registrations closed in August, formalizing alliances such as Muda Sergipe com a Força do Povo and Sergipe Cresce com Você, while each voter selects two names for the state's two seats. High fragmentation, late-deciding voters, and shifting first- and second-choice preferences have kept implied probabilities clustered near even among frontrunners. Scheduled debates, alliance adjustments, or turnout shifts in the final weeks before the October 4 first round could widen gaps in vote shares.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$33,169End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Sergipe's Senate race shows Delegado André David, Rogério Carvalho, and André Moura in a tight contest for top vote totals, with Eduardo Amorim and others close behind amid 20-70% undecided or blank responses across surveys. Official candidate registrations closed in August, formalizing alliances such as Muda Sergipe com a Força do Povo and Sergipe Cresce com Você, while each voter selects two names for the state's two seats. High fragmentation, late-deciding voters, and shifting first- and second-choice preferences have kept implied probabilities clustered near even among frontrunners. Scheduled debates, alliance adjustments, or turnout shifts in the final weeks before the October 4 first round could widen gaps in vote shares.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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