Recent Quaest polling for Sergipe’s October 4 Senate contest, which elects two members, shows a statistical tie among leading contenders including Rogério Carvalho (PT), Delegado André David (Republicanos), André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), each drawing single-digit support amid 79% spontaneous indecision. Vote splitting across more than ten registered candidates, combined with undecided second-preference patterns and ongoing coalition alignments tied to the gubernatorial race, sustains the tight positioning for second place. Official registrations completed in mid-August and the start of televised campaigning could consolidate or fragment support before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRogerio Carvalho 28%
André Moura 19%
Delegado André David 17.9%
Delegado Alessandro 15.1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
28%
André Moura
19%
Delegado André David
18%
Delegado Alessandro
15%
Eduardo Amorim
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
4%
Renatinha
<1%
Edvaldo
<1%
Coronel Rocha
<1%
Iran Barbosa
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
<1%
Rogerio Carvalho 28%
André Moura 19%
Delegado André David 17.9%
Delegado Alessandro 15.1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rogerio Carvalho
$5,825 Vol.
28%
André Moura
$3,271 Vol.
19%
Delegado André David
$2,342 Vol.
18%
Delegado Alessandro
$1,819 Vol.
15%
Eduardo Amorim
$2,539 Vol.
13%
Rodrigo Valadares
$1,456 Vol.
4%
Renatinha
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
Edvaldo
$647 Vol.
<1%
Coronel Rocha
$776 Vol.
<1%
Iran Barbosa
$1,380 Vol.
<1%
Paulinho da União Tur
$992 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling for Sergipe’s October 4 Senate contest, which elects two members, shows a statistical tie among leading contenders including Rogério Carvalho (PT), Delegado André David (Republicanos), André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), each drawing single-digit support amid 79% spontaneous indecision. Vote splitting across more than ten registered candidates, combined with undecided second-preference patterns and ongoing coalition alignments tied to the gubernatorial race, sustains the tight positioning for second place. Official registrations completed in mid-August and the start of televised campaigning could consolidate or fragment support before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ET
Volume
$22,385End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent Quaest polling for Sergipe’s October 4 Senate contest, which elects two members, shows a statistical tie among leading contenders including Rogério Carvalho (PT), Delegado André David (Republicanos), André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), each drawing single-digit support amid 79% spontaneous indecision. Vote splitting across more than ten registered candidates, combined with undecided second-preference patterns and ongoing coalition alignments tied to the gubernatorial race, sustains the tight positioning for second place. Official registrations completed in mid-August and the start of televised campaigning could consolidate or fragment support before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Sergipe is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$22,385End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:21 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Quaest polling for Sergipe’s October 4 Senate contest, which elects two members, shows a statistical tie among leading contenders including Rogério Carvalho (PT), Delegado André David (Republicanos), André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos), each drawing single-digit support amid 79% spontaneous indecision. Vote splitting across more than ten registered candidates, combined with undecided second-preference patterns and ongoing coalition alignments tied to the gubernatorial race, sustains the tight positioning for second place. Official registrations completed in mid-August and the start of televised campaigning could consolidate or fragment support before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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