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icon for Falealili 1 By-Election Winner
World·Samoa

Falealili 1 By-Election Winner

icon for Falealili 1 By-Election Winner
World·Samoa

Falealili 1 By-Election Winner

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 16%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 15%

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 13.1%

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu 4.2%

Polymarket

$20,776 Vol.

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu 16%

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko 15%

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale 13.1%

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu 4.2%

Polymarket

$20,776 Vol.

icon for Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu

$7,279 Vol.

16%

icon for Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko

$5,612 Vol.

15%

icon for Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

Auseugalelei Uiti Lagavale

$5,242 Vol.

13%

icon for Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

Si'a Fa'aletonu Alec Latu

$351 Vol.

4%

icon for Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

$578 Vol.

9%

icon for Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

Patea Taveuveu Taamaletoa Aipovi Patea

$502 Vol.

1%

icon for Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

Seumafaleupolu Aperila Vaa Tiai

$1,212 Vol.

<1%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The by-election in Samoa’s Falealili 1 constituency, set for 18 September 2026, follows the Court of Appeal’s upholding of a ruling that voided the FAST party incumbent’s 2025 victory over election bribery. FAST has fielded four candidates while HRPP nominated one, with additional independents creating a crowded field that fragments voter support. Recent candidate nominations, the absence of overseas voting, and pre-polling scheduled for 16 September keep trader odds tightly clustered among the leading names, reflecting uncertainty over vote consolidation and last-minute shifts. Historical patterns of narrow margins and post-election petitions in the constituency further sustain the even pricing ahead of polling.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$20,776
End Date
Sep 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The by-election in Samoa’s Falealili 1 constituency, set for 18 September 2026, follows the Court of Appeal’s upholding of a ruling that voided the FAST party incumbent’s 2025 victory over election bribery. FAST has fielded four candidates while HRPP nominated one, with additional independents creating a crowded field that fragments voter support. Recent candidate nominations, the absence of overseas voting, and pre-polling scheduled for 16 September keep trader odds tightly clustered among the leading names, reflecting uncertainty over vote consolidation and last-minute shifts. Historical patterns of narrow margins and post-election petitions in the constituency further sustain the even pricing ahead of polling.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volume
$20,776
End Date
Sep 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Falealili 1 By-Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu" at 16%, followed by "Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Falealili 1 By-Election Winner" has generated $20.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Falealili 1 By-Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Falealili 1 By-Election Winner" is "Taveuveu Willie Tuatagaloa Fetu" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tuiloma Tusa Siiliili Laniselota Lameko" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Falealili 1 By-Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.