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Politics·Main Election

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

icon for Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Main Election

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an 93%

Puma Shen 7.4%

Kuo Hsi <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Chiang Wan-an 93%

Puma Shen 7.4%

Kuo Hsi <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Chiang Wan-an

Chiang Wan-an

$4,921 Vol.

93%

icon for Puma Shen

Puma Shen

$1,651 Vol.

7%

icon for Kuo Hsi

Kuo Hsi

$473 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an maintains a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026, Taipei mayoral race due to his status as a popular KMT incumbent with strong city-level approval ratings near 65 percent and consistent polling advantages, such as a May 2026 TVBS survey showing him ahead of DPP nominee Puma Shen by roughly 26 points. Taipei’s partisan lean toward the KMT, combined with Shen’s relatively untested electoral profile and background as a legislator, reinforces trader consensus around the frontrunner. Candidate registration opened August 31 with limited additional contenders, including low-profile entries like Kuo Hsi. Shifts could occur from late scandals, significant third-party vote splitting, or major shifts in national sentiment before election day, though current fundamentals point to structural barriers for challengers.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$7,045
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an maintains a commanding lead in the November 28, 2026, Taipei mayoral race due to his status as a popular KMT incumbent with strong city-level approval ratings near 65 percent and consistent polling advantages, such as a May 2026 TVBS survey showing him ahead of DPP nominee Puma Shen by roughly 26 points. Taipei’s partisan lean toward the KMT, combined with Shen’s relatively untested electoral profile and background as a legislator, reinforces trader consensus around the frontrunner. Candidate registration opened August 31 with limited additional contenders, including low-profile entries like Kuo Hsi. Shifts could occur from late scandals, significant third-party vote splitting, or major shifts in national sentiment before election day, though current fundamentals point to structural barriers for challengers.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$7,045
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Taipei Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chiang Wan-an" at 93%, followed by "Puma Shen" at 7%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 93¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taipei Mayor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taipei Mayor Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taipei Mayor Election Winner" is "Chiang Wan-an" at 93%, meaning the market assigns a 93% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Puma Shen" at 7%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taipei Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.