Trader consensus centers on 4M–4.2M total votes in Georgia’s November 3 general election as the most probable range, reflecting expectations for a competitive midterm Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Mike Collins. Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead by roughly seven points, consistent with Georgia’s swing-state profile after the 2024 presidential results and sustained suburban and independent voter engagement. Midterm turnout historically falls below presidential levels, yet the race’s visibility, ongoing early-voting mobilization, and national economic focus support participation near the middle of recent cycles. Adjacent ranges capture uncertainty over final get-out-the-vote intensity and any late shifts in enthusiasm among key demographic groups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated4M-4.2M 45%
4.4M-4.6M 26%
3.8M-4M 8%
4.8M+ 5.2%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<3.6M
2%
3.6M-3.8M
1%
3.8M-4M
8%
4M-4.2M
45%
4.2M-4.4M
39%
4.4M-4.6M
26%
4.6M-4.8M
3%
4.8M+
5%
4M-4.2M 45%
4.4M-4.6M 26%
3.8M-4M 8%
4.8M+ 5.2%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
<3.6M
$1,023 Vol.
2%
3.6M-3.8M
$285 Vol.
1%
3.8M-4M
$308 Vol.
8%
4M-4.2M
$1,163 Vol.
45%
4.2M-4.4M
$486 Vol.
39%
4.4M-4.6M
$760 Vol.
26%
4.6M-4.8M
$344 Vol.
3%
4.8M+
$170 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus centers on 4M–4.2M total votes in Georgia’s November 3 general election as the most probable range, reflecting expectations for a competitive midterm Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Mike Collins. Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead by roughly seven points, consistent with Georgia’s swing-state profile after the 2024 presidential results and sustained suburban and independent voter engagement. Midterm turnout historically falls below presidential levels, yet the race’s visibility, ongoing early-voting mobilization, and national economic focus support participation near the middle of recent cycles. Adjacent ranges capture uncertainty over final get-out-the-vote intensity and any late shifts in enthusiasm among key demographic groups.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ET
Volume
$4,539End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus centers on 4M–4.2M total votes in Georgia’s November 3 general election as the most probable range, reflecting expectations for a competitive midterm Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Mike Collins. Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead by roughly seven points, consistent with Georgia’s swing-state profile after the 2024 presidential results and sustained suburban and independent voter engagement. Midterm turnout historically falls below presidential levels, yet the race’s visibility, ongoing early-voting mobilization, and national economic focus support participation near the middle of recent cycles. Adjacent ranges capture uncertainty over final get-out-the-vote intensity and any late shifts in enthusiasm among key demographic groups.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,539End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 4M–4.2M total votes in Georgia’s November 3 general election as the most probable range, reflecting expectations for a competitive midterm Senate contest between incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff and Republican Mike Collins. Recent polling averages show Ossoff ahead by roughly seven points, consistent with Georgia’s swing-state profile after the 2024 presidential results and sustained suburban and independent voter engagement. Midterm turnout historically falls below presidential levels, yet the race’s visibility, ongoing early-voting mobilization, and national economic focus support participation near the middle of recent cycles. Adjacent ranges capture uncertainty over final get-out-the-vote intensity and any late shifts in enthusiasm among key demographic groups.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRelated
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Maine be less than 600,000?
37%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?
39%
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000?
33%
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions