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icon for Greenland deal text released by...?

Greenland deal text released by...?

icon for Greenland deal text released by...?

Greenland deal text released by...?

NEW
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$2,874 Vol.

Polymarket

September 19

$590 Vol.

7%

September 23

$839 Vol.

51%

September 30

$1,445 Vol.

74%

On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States had entered into an agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark and Greenland concerning security in Greenland. The governments of Denmark and Greenland confirmed that an agreement is expected to be signed. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026 is officially released by the government of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026" includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The "text of the agreement" refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement. Public disclosures of the agreement's contents, including fact sheets, summaries, and descriptions of its terms, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. A portion of the text of the agreement must be officially released by at least one of the governments of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland through official government channels or an authorized public release to the media. Leaks, unauthorized disclosures, or other unofficial publications will not qualify. Text of the agreement read aloud, without release in visual form, will not qualify. Government confirmation of the authenticity of leaked or otherwise unofficially disclosed text, without an official public release of the text itself, will not qualify. A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it is officially released as specified in these rules and contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the parties. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States, Denmark, and Greenland and a consensus of credible reporting.**A US-Denmark-Greenland security agreement was announced on September 18, 2026, granting the United States permanent access, basing, and overflight rights on the island while barring non-NATO adversaries from establishing bases or making sensitive investments.** The deal builds on existing defense arrangements and is framed by U.S. officials as addressing long-term strategic concerns in the Arctic without transferring sovereignty or territory. Danish and Greenlandic leaders have confirmed the accord but stress that it upholds the Kingdom’s territorial integrity and Greenland’s right to self-determination. No full text has been released, though the parties plan to sign the agreement at the United Nations General Assembly the following week, after which Danish parliamentary procedures would apply. This timeline and the distinction between announcement and formal publication of the document are the central factors shaping trader expectations around the release of the deal text.

On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States had entered into an agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark and Greenland concerning security in Greenland. The governments of Denmark and Greenland confirmed that an agreement is expected to be signed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026 is officially released by the government of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The "agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026" includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.

The "text of the agreement" refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement. Public disclosures of the agreement's contents, including fact sheets, summaries, and descriptions of its terms, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify.

A portion of the text of the agreement must be officially released by at least one of the governments of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland through official government channels or an authorized public release to the media.

Leaks, unauthorized disclosures, or other unofficial publications will not qualify. Text of the agreement read aloud, without release in visual form, will not qualify. Government confirmation of the authenticity of leaked or otherwise unofficially disclosed text, without an official public release of the text itself, will not qualify.

A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it is officially released as specified in these rules and contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the parties. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States, Denmark, and Greenland and a consensus of credible reporting.
On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States had entered into an agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark and Greenland concerning security in Greenland. The governments of Denmark and Greenland confirmed that an agreement is expected to be signed. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026 is officially released by the government of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026" includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The "text of the agreement" refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement. Public disclosures of the agreement's contents, including fact sheets, summaries, and descriptions of its terms, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. A portion of the text of the agreement must be officially released by at least one of the governments of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland through official government channels or an authorized public release to the media. Leaks, unauthorized disclosures, or other unofficial publications will not qualify. Text of the agreement read aloud, without release in visual form, will not qualify. Government confirmation of the authenticity of leaked or otherwise unofficially disclosed text, without an official public release of the text itself, will not qualify. A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it is officially released as specified in these rules and contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the parties. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States, Denmark, and Greenland and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,874
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States had entered into an agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark and Greenland concerning security in Greenland. The governments of Denmark and Greenland confirmed that an agreement is expected to be signed. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026 is officially released by the government of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026" includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The "text of the agreement" refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement. Public disclosures of the agreement's contents, including fact sheets, summaries, and descriptions of its terms, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. A portion of the text of the agreement must be officially released by at least one of the governments of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland through official government channels or an authorized public release to the media. Leaks, unauthorized disclosures, or other unofficial publications will not qualify. Text of the agreement read aloud, without release in visual form, will not qualify. Government confirmation of the authenticity of leaked or otherwise unofficially disclosed text, without an official public release of the text itself, will not qualify. A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it is officially released as specified in these rules and contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the parties. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States, Denmark, and Greenland and a consensus of credible reporting.**A US-Denmark-Greenland security agreement was announced on September 18, 2026, granting the United States permanent access, basing, and overflight rights on the island while barring non-NATO adversaries from establishing bases or making sensitive investments.** The deal builds on existing defense arrangements and is framed by U.S. officials as addressing long-term strategic concerns in the Arctic without transferring sovereignty or territory. Danish and Greenlandic leaders have confirmed the accord but stress that it upholds the Kingdom’s territorial integrity and Greenland’s right to self-determination. No full text has been released, though the parties plan to sign the agreement at the United Nations General Assembly the following week, after which Danish parliamentary procedures would apply. This timeline and the distinction between announcement and formal publication of the document are the central factors shaping trader expectations around the release of the deal text.

On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States had entered into an agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark and Greenland concerning security in Greenland. The governments of Denmark and Greenland confirmed that an agreement is expected to be signed.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026 is officially released by the government of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The "agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026" includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement.

The "text of the agreement" refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement. Public disclosures of the agreement's contents, including fact sheets, summaries, and descriptions of its terms, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify.

A portion of the text of the agreement must be officially released by at least one of the governments of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland through official government channels or an authorized public release to the media.

Leaks, unauthorized disclosures, or other unofficial publications will not qualify. Text of the agreement read aloud, without release in visual form, will not qualify. Government confirmation of the authenticity of leaked or otherwise unofficially disclosed text, without an official public release of the text itself, will not qualify.

A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it is officially released as specified in these rules and contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the parties. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify.

The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States, Denmark, and Greenland and a consensus of credible reporting.
On September 18, 2026, Donald Trump announced that the United States had entered into an agreement with the Kingdom of Denmark and Greenland concerning security in Greenland. The governments of Denmark and Greenland confirmed that an agreement is expected to be signed. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any portion of the text of the agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026 is officially released by the government of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "agreement announced by Donald Trump on September 18, 2026" includes any later-modified version that is publicly identified by credible reporting as a successor version of the same agreement. The "text of the agreement" refers to the actual textual wording of the written agreement. Public disclosures of the agreement's contents, including fact sheets, summaries, and descriptions of its terms, without the public disclosure of the actual text of the agreement, will not qualify. A portion of the text of the agreement must be officially released by at least one of the governments of the United States, Denmark, or Greenland through official government channels or an authorized public release to the media. Leaks, unauthorized disclosures, or other unofficial publications will not qualify. Text of the agreement read aloud, without release in visual form, will not qualify. Government confirmation of the authenticity of leaked or otherwise unofficially disclosed text, without an official public release of the text itself, will not qualify. A joint statement or similar document will qualify only if it is officially released as specified in these rules and contains verbatim text of the written agreement itself or is itself the operative written agreement between the parties. A statement that merely announces or characterizes the agreement will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States, Denmark, and Greenland and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$2,874
End Date
Oct 1, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 18, 2026, 7:34 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Greenland deal text released by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "September 30" at 74%, followed by "September 23" at 51%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 74¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Greenland deal text released by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Greenland deal text released by...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Greenland deal text released by...?" is "September 30" at 74%, meaning the market assigns a 74% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 23" at 51%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Greenland deal text released by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.