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Politics·German Elections

Hannover Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Hannover Mayoral Election Winner
Politics·German Elections

Hannover Mayoral Election Winner

Belit Onay 81%

Axel von der Ohe 15%

Peter Karst 3.0%

Jessica Schülke 1.4%

Polymarket

$19,873 Vol.

Belit Onay 81%

Axel von der Ohe 15%

Peter Karst 3.0%

Jessica Schülke 1.4%

Polymarket

$19,873 Vol.

icon for Belit Onay

Belit Onay

$9,393 Vol.

81%

icon for Axel von der Ohe

Axel von der Ohe

$3,551 Vol.

15%

icon for Peter Karst

Peter Karst

$1,770 Vol.

3%

icon for Jessica Schülke

Jessica Schülke

$1,304 Vol.

1%

icon for Maren Kaminski

Maren Kaminski

$1,417 Vol.

<1%

icon for Larissa Boch

Larissa Boch

$603 Vol.

<1%

icon for Bruno Adam Wolf

Bruno Adam Wolf

$653 Vol.

<1%

icon for Thorsten Meyer

Thorsten Meyer

$567 Vol.

<1%

icon for Muammer Duran

Muammer Duran

$616 Vol.

<1%

The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.Belit Onay, the incumbent Green Party mayor since 2019, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 13, 2026 Hannover mayoral election due to recent Forsa polling showing him at 40% support, well ahead of main challengers Peter Karst (CDU) at 21% and Axel von der Ohe (SPD) at 20%. The broad field of nine approved candidates fragments remaining votes, raising the likelihood of a September 27 runoff between the top two. Onay's incumbency, party nomination strength, and consistent positioning on local priorities such as mobility, housing, and climate initiatives underpin the implied probability gap, while challengers trail amid lower name recognition and party fragmentation. No single late development has altered this positioning ahead of the vote.

The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$19,873
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.Belit Onay, the incumbent Green Party mayor since 2019, holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 13, 2026 Hannover mayoral election due to recent Forsa polling showing him at 40% support, well ahead of main challengers Peter Karst (CDU) at 21% and Axel von der Ohe (SPD) at 20%. The broad field of nine approved candidates fragments remaining votes, raising the likelihood of a September 27 runoff between the top two. Onay's incumbency, party nomination strength, and consistent positioning on local priorities such as mobility, housing, and climate initiatives underpin the implied probability gap, while challengers trail amid lower name recognition and party fragmentation. No single late development has altered this positioning ahead of the vote.

The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Volume
$19,873
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 7:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The next Hannover mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Hannover, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Landeshauptstadt Hannover). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hannover as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Landeshauptstadt Hannover, including its election office and municipal election committee.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hannover Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Belit Onay" at 81%, followed by "Axel von der Ohe" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Hannover Mayoral Election Winner" has generated $19.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Hannover Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hannover Mayoral Election Winner" is "Belit Onay" at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Axel von der Ohe" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hannover Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.