Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets currently project an overnight low near 77–78°F for Austin on September 1, driven by persistent high dew points near 70–73°F that limit radiative cooling under light southeast winds and mostly clear skies. This places the most probable range in the upper 70s, above the September 1 climatological average low of ~71°F. Trader consensus clusters on 72–75°F bins, reflecting modest model spread, potential for localized cooling in rural observing sites, and uncertainty in exact minimum timing within the calendar day. A rapid update to official guidance or revised model runs ahead of sunset could quickly shift positioning before observations finalize the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Austin on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Austin on September 1?
86°F or higher 43%
74-75°F 38%
72-73°F 32%
76-77°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
67°F or below
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
32%
74-75°F
38%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
5%
86°F or higher
43%
86°F or higher 43%
74-75°F 38%
72-73°F 32%
76-77°F 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 1, 2026
67°F or below
$15 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$80 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
25%
72-73°F
$1 Vol.
32%
74-75°F
$19 Vol.
38%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
27%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$9 Vol.
25%
82-83°F
$69 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$20 Vol.
5%
86°F or higher
$20 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets currently project an overnight low near 77–78°F for Austin on September 1, driven by persistent high dew points near 70–73°F that limit radiative cooling under light southeast winds and mostly clear skies. This places the most probable range in the upper 70s, above the September 1 climatological average low of ~71°F. Trader consensus clusters on 72–75°F bins, reflecting modest model spread, potential for localized cooling in rural observing sites, and uncertainty in exact minimum timing within the calendar day. A rapid update to official guidance or revised model runs ahead of sunset could quickly shift positioning before observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$233End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets currently project an overnight low near 77–78°F for Austin on September 1, driven by persistent high dew points near 70–73°F that limit radiative cooling under light southeast winds and mostly clear skies. This places the most probable range in the upper 70s, above the September 1 climatological average low of ~71°F. Trader consensus clusters on 72–75°F bins, reflecting modest model spread, potential for localized cooling in rural observing sites, and uncertainty in exact minimum timing within the calendar day. A rapid update to official guidance or revised model runs ahead of sunset could quickly shift positioning before observations finalize the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$233End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 30, 2026, 3:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private outlets currently project an overnight low near 77–78°F for Austin on September 1, driven by persistent high dew points near 70–73°F that limit radiative cooling under light southeast winds and mostly clear skies. This places the most probable range in the upper 70s, above the September 1 climatological average low of ~71°F. Trader consensus clusters on 72–75°F bins, reflecting modest model spread, potential for localized cooling in rural observing sites, and uncertainty in exact minimum timing within the calendar day. A rapid update to official guidance or revised model runs ahead of sunset could quickly shift positioning before observations finalize the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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