Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place
Politics·Brazil

Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place

Weverton Rocha 37%

Lahesio Bonfim 25.6%

Fufuca 23%

Roseana Sarney 10%

Polymarket

$35,901 Vol.

Weverton Rocha 37%

Lahesio Bonfim 25.6%

Fufuca 23%

Roseana Sarney 10%

Polymarket

$35,901 Vol.

icon for Weverton Rocha

Weverton Rocha

$13,103 Vol.

37%

icon for Lahesio Bonfim

Lahesio Bonfim

$2,410 Vol.

26%

icon for Fufuca

Fufuca

$5,796 Vol.

23%

icon for Roseana Sarney

Roseana Sarney

$8,586 Vol.

10%

icon for Eliziane Gama

Eliziane Gama

$1,673 Vol.

9%

icon for Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

Dr. Hilton Gonçalo

$1,043 Vol.

1%

icon for Raimundo Moreira

Raimundo Moreira

$645 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enilton Rodrigues

Enilton Rodrigues

$717 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wilson Leite

Wilson Leite

$656 Vol.

<1%

icon for Cidônio Gonçalves

Cidônio Gonçalves

$564 Vol.

<1%

icon for Simplício Araújo

Simplício Araújo

$709 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Maranhão Senate race for second place stays closely contested as recent September polls show a fragmented field with Roseana Sarney (MDB) frequently leading first-vote intentions while Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) cluster within a few points for the remaining spot. Voters select up to two candidates for the two seats on October 4, amplifying the impact of vote splitting among established names, party coalitions, and regional bases. Trader consensus assigns Weverton the highest probability for second amid his incumbency and polling consistency, yet Fufuca and Lahesio remain within striking distance as late-campaign momentum, turnout among undecided voters, and alliance shifts could reorder the final tally before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$35,901
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Maranhão Senate race for second place stays closely contested as recent September polls show a fragmented field with Roseana Sarney (MDB) frequently leading first-vote intentions while Weverton Rocha (PDT), André Fufuca (PP), and Lahesio Bonfim (NOVO) cluster within a few points for the remaining spot. Voters select up to two candidates for the two seats on October 4, amplifying the impact of vote splitting among established names, party coalitions, and regional bases. Trader consensus assigns Weverton the highest probability for second amid his incumbency and polling consistency, yet Fufuca and Lahesio remain within striking distance as late-campaign momentum, turnout among undecided voters, and alliance shifts could reorder the final tally before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Maranhão is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$35,901
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:00 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?

61%
icon for Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

Will Veneziano win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?

57%
icon for Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

Will Janaina Riva win the second-most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso Senate election?

66%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Weverton Rocha" at 37%, followed by "Lahesio Bonfim" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place" has generated $35.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Weverton Rocha" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Lahesio Bonfim" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.