Pat Harrigan holds a commanding lead in the NC-10 general election as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9. He secured his party's nomination with nearly 88 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Ashley Bell advanced from a fragmented field after taking 47 percent. Harrigan's substantial fundraising edge, military background, and focus on issues such as border security and national defense align with the district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026, contest remains months away, so late developments including national political shifts or unexpected campaign events could still alter the trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-10 House Election Winner
NC-10 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
Pat Harrigan (R)
95%
Ashley Bell (D)
7%
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
Pat Harrigan (R)
$3,715 Vol.
95%
Ashley Bell (D)
$3,763 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Harrigan holds a commanding lead in the NC-10 general election as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9. He secured his party's nomination with nearly 88 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Ashley Bell advanced from a fragmented field after taking 47 percent. Harrigan's substantial fundraising edge, military background, and focus on issues such as border security and national defense align with the district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026, contest remains months away, so late developments including national political shifts or unexpected campaign events could still alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$7,478End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Harrigan holds a commanding lead in the NC-10 general election as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9. He secured his party's nomination with nearly 88 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Ashley Bell advanced from a fragmented field after taking 47 percent. Harrigan's substantial fundraising edge, military background, and focus on issues such as border security and national defense align with the district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026, contest remains months away, so late developments including national political shifts or unexpected campaign events could still alter the trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,478End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pat Harrigan holds a commanding lead in the NC-10 general election as the Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9. He secured his party's nomination with nearly 88 percent in the March 2026 primary, while Democrat Ashley Bell advanced from a fragmented field after taking 47 percent. Harrigan's substantial fundraising edge, military background, and focus on issues such as border security and national defense align with the district's consistent Republican voting patterns in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026, contest remains months away, so late developments including national political shifts or unexpected campaign events could still alter the trajectory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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