Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger secured the party nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary, while Democrat Kristi Burke prevailed in a low-turnout contest for her party's nod. The northeast Tennessee district has consistently delivered large Republican margins, including a roughly 30-point Trump victory in 2024, and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These fundamentals—incumbency, district partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments—underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. A late national swing, major scandal, or unprecedented turnout surge would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-01 House Election Winner
TN-01 House Election Winner
$27,101 Vol.
$27,101 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
4%
$27,101 Vol.
$27,101 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$21,678 Vol.
96%
Democratic Party
$5,423 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger secured the party nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary, while Democrat Kristi Burke prevailed in a low-turnout contest for her party's nod. The northeast Tennessee district has consistently delivered large Republican margins, including a roughly 30-point Trump victory in 2024, and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These fundamentals—incumbency, district partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments—underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. A late national swing, major scandal, or unprecedented turnout surge would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$27,101End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger secured the party nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary, while Democrat Kristi Burke prevailed in a low-turnout contest for her party's nod. The northeast Tennessee district has consistently delivered large Republican margins, including a roughly 30-point Trump victory in 2024, and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These fundamentals—incumbency, district partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments—underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. A late national swing, major scandal, or unprecedented turnout surge would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$27,101End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Diana Harshbarger secured the party nomination without opposition in the August 6 primary, while Democrat Kristi Burke prevailed in a low-turnout contest for her party's nod. The northeast Tennessee district has consistently delivered large Republican margins, including a roughly 30-point Trump victory in 2024, and all major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. These fundamentals—incumbency, district partisan composition, and absence of competitive polling or notable campaign developments—underpin the market's heavy weighting toward the Republican nominee. A late national swing, major scandal, or unprecedented turnout surge would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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