Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored by progressive Madison and rated D+21 by the Cook Political Report, has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote after no Republican candidate filed by the June deadline, leaving only minimal or write-in opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic heading into the November 3 general election. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the 97.3 percent consensus for the Democratic Party, consistent with the district's voting history and the absence of a competitive Republican recruit. A late scandal involving Pocan, unexpected retirement, or an unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$102,288 Vol.
$102,288 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
<1%
$102,288 Vol.
$102,288 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$62,181 Vol.
97%
Republican Party
$40,107 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored by progressive Madison and rated D+21 by the Cook Political Report, has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote after no Republican candidate filed by the June deadline, leaving only minimal or write-in opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic heading into the November 3 general election. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the 97.3 percent consensus for the Democratic Party, consistent with the district's voting history and the absence of a competitive Republican recruit. A late scandal involving Pocan, unexpected retirement, or an unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$102,288End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored by progressive Madison and rated D+21 by the Cook Political Report, has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote after no Republican candidate filed by the June deadline, leaving only minimal or write-in opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic heading into the November 3 general election. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the 97.3 percent consensus for the Democratic Party, consistent with the district's voting history and the absence of a competitive Republican recruit. A late scandal involving Pocan, unexpected retirement, or an unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$102,288End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district, anchored by progressive Madison and rated D+21 by the Cook Political Report, has delivered consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Representative Mark Pocan secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with nearly 88 percent of the vote after no Republican candidate filed by the June deadline, leaving only minimal or write-in opposition. Forecasters across outlets rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic heading into the November 3 general election. Traders reflect this structural advantage in the 97.3 percent consensus for the Democratic Party, consistent with the district's voting history and the absence of a competitive Republican recruit. A late scandal involving Pocan, unexpected retirement, or an unprecedented national Republican wave would be required to alter the outcome at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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