Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 3 general election. Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary with 49 percent of the vote and a Trump endorsement, while Fred Clark won the Democratic primary. The open seat, created when incumbent Tom Tiffany pursued the governorship, has not altered the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage and limited Democratic fundraising or polling visibility. Shifts in national conditions, a late scandal, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization could narrow margins, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate few pathways to an upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWI-07 House Election Winner
WI-07 House Election Winner
$42,210 Vol.
$42,210 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
96%
Democratic Party
4%
$42,210 Vol.
$42,210 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$21,469 Vol.
96%
Democratic Party
$20,741 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 3 general election. Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary with 49 percent of the vote and a Trump endorsement, while Fred Clark won the Democratic primary. The open seat, created when incumbent Tom Tiffany pursued the governorship, has not altered the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage and limited Democratic fundraising or polling visibility. Shifts in national conditions, a late scandal, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization could narrow margins, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate few pathways to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$42,210End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 3 general election. Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary with 49 percent of the vote and a Trump endorsement, while Fred Clark won the Democratic primary. The open seat, created when incumbent Tom Tiffany pursued the governorship, has not altered the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage and limited Democratic fundraising or polling visibility. Shifts in national conditions, a late scandal, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization could narrow margins, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate few pathways to an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,210End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 7th Congressional District carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and receives Solid Republican ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball ahead of the November 3 general election. Michael Alfonso secured the Republican nomination in the August 11 primary with 49 percent of the vote and a Trump endorsement, while Fred Clark won the Democratic primary. The open seat, created when incumbent Tom Tiffany pursued the governorship, has not altered the district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles. Trader consensus at 95.5 percent for the Republican nominee reflects this structural advantage and limited Democratic fundraising or polling visibility. Shifts in national conditions, a late scandal, or unusually strong Democratic mobilization could narrow margins, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate few pathways to an upset.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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