Recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data show Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race for one of two seats, while Luizianne Lins (Rede) and Capitão Wagner (União) remain closely matched for second place, often within margins of error at 13-24% each. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with voters' ability to split tickets across the two vacancies, sustain the narrow gap. Luizianne's alignment on the state government ticket has consolidated some support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters; Alcides Fernandes (PL) and others trail further behind. With the October 4 election approaching, late shifts in turnout or second-preference flows could separate the contenders for second.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · DiperbaruiCapitão Wagner 36%
Luizianne 34%
Cid Gomes 20%
Alcides Fernandes 3.5%
$36,524 Vol.
$36,524 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
36%
Luizianne
39%
Cid Gomes
26%
Alcides Fernandes
4%
Lino Alves
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
<1%
Catarina Matos
<1%
Reginaldo
<1%
Capitão Wagner 36%
Luizianne 34%
Cid Gomes 20%
Alcides Fernandes 3.5%
$36,524 Vol.
$36,524 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Capitão Wagner
$14,348 Vol.
36%
Luizianne
$11,623 Vol.
39%
Cid Gomes
$4,910 Vol.
26%
Alcides Fernandes
$1,100 Vol.
4%
Lino Alves
$942 Vol.
1%
Guilherme Theophilo
$825 Vol.
<1%
Catarina Matos
$1,541 Vol.
<1%
Reginaldo
$1,234 Vol.
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data show Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race for one of two seats, while Luizianne Lins (Rede) and Capitão Wagner (União) remain closely matched for second place, often within margins of error at 13-24% each. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with voters' ability to split tickets across the two vacancies, sustain the narrow gap. Luizianne's alignment on the state government ticket has consolidated some support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters; Alcides Fernandes (PL) and others trail further behind. With the October 4 election approaching, late shifts in turnout or second-preference flows could separate the contenders for second.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Pasar Dibuka: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
Volume
$36,524Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data show Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race for one of two seats, while Luizianne Lins (Rede) and Capitão Wagner (União) remain closely matched for second place, often within margins of error at 13-24% each. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with voters' ability to split tickets across the two vacancies, sustain the narrow gap. Luizianne's alignment on the state government ticket has consolidated some support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters; Alcides Fernandes (PL) and others trail further behind. With the October 4 election approaching, late shifts in turnout or second-preference flows could separate the contenders for second.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Ceará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$36,524Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 4, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data show Cid Gomes (PSB) leading the Ceará Senate race for one of two seats, while Luizianne Lins (Rede) and Capitão Wagner (União) remain closely matched for second place, often within margins of error at 13-24% each. High shares of undecided and blank/null voters, combined with voters' ability to split tickets across the two vacancies, sustain the narrow gap. Luizianne's alignment on the state government ticket has consolidated some support, while Wagner draws from opposition voters; Alcides Fernandes (PL) and others trail further behind. With the October 4 election approaching, late shifts in turnout or second-preference flows could separate the contenders for second.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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