Delaware’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Sarah McBride, who captured the seat in 2024 by double digits, faces no primary opposition after the Democratic filing deadline passed without challengers. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the state’s long-term partisan lean and historical margins. Multiple Republicans are competing in the September 15 primary, yet none have demonstrated statewide viability. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national partisan swing, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger, though structural barriers limit the likelihood of such changes before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoDE-AL House Election Winner
DE-AL House Election Winner
$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Democratic Party
$5,359 Vol.
95%
Republican Party
$37,900 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Sarah McBride, who captured the seat in 2024 by double digits, faces no primary opposition after the Democratic filing deadline passed without challengers. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the state’s long-term partisan lean and historical margins. Multiple Republicans are competing in the September 15 primary, yet none have demonstrated statewide viability. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national partisan swing, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger, though structural barriers limit the likelihood of such changes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$43,260Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Sarah McBride, who captured the seat in 2024 by double digits, faces no primary opposition after the Democratic filing deadline passed without challengers. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the state’s long-term partisan lean and historical margins. Multiple Republicans are competing in the September 15 primary, yet none have demonstrated statewide viability. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national partisan swing, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger, though structural barriers limit the likelihood of such changes before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$43,260Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Sarah McBride, who captured the seat in 2024 by double digits, faces no primary opposition after the Democratic filing deadline passed without challengers. Nonpartisan race ratings classify the contest as Safe or Solid Democratic, consistent with the state’s long-term partisan lean and historical margins. Multiple Republicans are competing in the September 15 primary, yet none have demonstrated statewide viability. Scenarios that could still shift odds include a major scandal affecting the incumbent, an unusually strong national partisan swing, or unusually high turnout favoring the challenger, though structural barriers limit the likelihood of such changes before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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