Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination with a strong primary performance in Texas's 6th congressional district, which carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and backed Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in suburban Dallas-Fort Worth areas. Democratic nominee Danny Minton faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTX-06 House Election Winner
TX-06 House Election Winner
$52,730 Vol.
$52,730 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$52,730 Vol.
$52,730 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Republican Party
$25,739 Vol.
95%
Democratic Party
$26,991 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination with a strong primary performance in Texas's 6th congressional district, which carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and backed Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in suburban Dallas-Fort Worth areas. Democratic nominee Danny Minton faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$52,730Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination with a strong primary performance in Texas's 6th congressional district, which carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and backed Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in suburban Dallas-Fort Worth areas. Democratic nominee Danny Minton faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$52,730Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jake Ellzey secured his party's nomination with a strong primary performance in Texas's 6th congressional district, which carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and backed Republican presidential candidates by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting consistent GOP advantages in suburban Dallas-Fort Worth areas. Democratic nominee Danny Minton faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat for decades. Trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant national political realignment, or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in recent months.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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