Lauren Underwood’s commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race stems from her incumbency in a D+3 Cook PVI seat covering Chicago exurbs, combined with consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. She secured unopposed Democratic primary victory in March 2026 while Republican nominee James Marter prevailed in a low-profile contest, yet Underwood maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million raised against Marter’s roughly $140,000. Historical results, including her 2024 reelection by a double-digit margin, reinforce trader consensus on the low probability of an upset. A national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or significant health event could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoIL-14 House Election Winner
IL-14 House Election Winner
$16,880 Vol.
$16,880 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Lauren Underwood (D)
95%
James Marter (R)
5%
$16,880 Vol.
$16,880 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Lauren Underwood (D)
$5,376 Vol.
95%
James Marter (R)
$11,503 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lauren Underwood’s commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race stems from her incumbency in a D+3 Cook PVI seat covering Chicago exurbs, combined with consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. She secured unopposed Democratic primary victory in March 2026 while Republican nominee James Marter prevailed in a low-profile contest, yet Underwood maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million raised against Marter’s roughly $140,000. Historical results, including her 2024 reelection by a double-digit margin, reinforce trader consensus on the low probability of an upset. A national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or significant health event could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$16,880Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Lauren Underwood’s commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race stems from her incumbency in a D+3 Cook PVI seat covering Chicago exurbs, combined with consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. She secured unopposed Democratic primary victory in March 2026 while Republican nominee James Marter prevailed in a low-profile contest, yet Underwood maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million raised against Marter’s roughly $140,000. Historical results, including her 2024 reelection by a double-digit margin, reinforce trader consensus on the low probability of an upset. A national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or significant health event could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,880Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Lauren Underwood’s commanding position in the Illinois 14th congressional district race stems from her incumbency in a D+3 Cook PVI seat covering Chicago exurbs, combined with consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. She secured unopposed Democratic primary victory in March 2026 while Republican nominee James Marter prevailed in a low-profile contest, yet Underwood maintains a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2 million raised against Marter’s roughly $140,000. Historical results, including her 2024 reelection by a double-digit margin, reinforce trader consensus on the low probability of an upset. A national Republican wave, unforeseen scandal, or significant health event could still alter the trajectory before the November 3 general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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