Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 2nd congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, his long tenure since 1997, and the absence of any Republican primary or general election candidate after the June filing deadline. All major forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with McGovern's 68%+ margins in recent cycles. The September 1 Democratic primary was uncontested, further reducing uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural barriers to a Republican victory in this central Massachusetts district, though late developments such as an independent bid, candidate health issue, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoMA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
MA-02 Vincitore delle elezioni presidenziali
$63,336 Vol.
$63,336 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
95%
Partito Repubblicano
5%
$63,336 Vol.
$63,336 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Jim McGovern (D)
$35,228 Vol.
95%
Partito Repubblicano
$28,108 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 2nd congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, his long tenure since 1997, and the absence of any Republican primary or general election candidate after the June filing deadline. All major forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with McGovern's 68%+ margins in recent cycles. The September 1 Democratic primary was uncontested, further reducing uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural barriers to a Republican victory in this central Massachusetts district, though late developments such as an independent bid, candidate health issue, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$63,336Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 2nd congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, his long tenure since 1997, and the absence of any Republican primary or general election candidate after the June filing deadline. All major forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with McGovern's 68%+ margins in recent cycles. The September 1 Democratic primary was uncontested, further reducing uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural barriers to a Republican victory in this central Massachusetts district, though late developments such as an independent bid, candidate health issue, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,336Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern holds a commanding position in the Massachusetts 2nd congressional district race due to the seat's consistent Democratic lean, his long tenure since 1997, and the absence of any Republican primary or general election candidate after the June filing deadline. All major forecasters rate the district Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with McGovern's 68%+ margins in recent cycles. The September 1 Democratic primary was uncontested, further reducing uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the structural barriers to a Republican victory in this central Massachusetts district, though late developments such as an independent bid, candidate health issue, or major scandal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti