Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary, defeating Rep. Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points and solidifying support among the state's progressive base. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic dominance, reflected in recent presidential margins and Senate results, underpins trader consensus around Markey's commanding position heading into the November 3 general election. Polling averages show him ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by about 20 points, consistent with the state's partisan fundamentals and Markey's established record on issues like climate policy. Deaton has emphasized affordability and economic concerns in campaign messaging. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Massachusetts
Vincitore delle elezioni del Senato del Massachusetts
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ed Markey (D)
97%
John Deaton (R)
2%
$48,024 Vol.
$48,024 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ed Markey (D)
$35,054 Vol.
97%
John Deaton (R)
$12,970 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary, defeating Rep. Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points and solidifying support among the state's progressive base. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic dominance, reflected in recent presidential margins and Senate results, underpins trader consensus around Markey's commanding position heading into the November 3 general election. Polling averages show him ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by about 20 points, consistent with the state's partisan fundamentals and Markey's established record on issues like climate policy. Deaton has emphasized affordability and economic concerns in campaign messaging. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercato aperto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$48,024Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary, defeating Rep. Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points and solidifying support among the state's progressive base. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic dominance, reflected in recent presidential margins and Senate results, underpins trader consensus around Markey's commanding position heading into the November 3 general election. Polling averages show him ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by about 20 points, consistent with the state's partisan fundamentals and Markey's established record on issues like climate policy. Deaton has emphasized affordability and economic concerns in campaign messaging. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$48,024Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Ed Markey secured the Democratic nomination in the September 1 primary, defeating Rep. Seth Moulton by roughly 30 points and solidifying support among the state's progressive base. Massachusetts's consistent Democratic dominance, reflected in recent presidential margins and Senate results, underpins trader consensus around Markey's commanding position heading into the November 3 general election. Polling averages show him ahead of Republican nominee John Deaton by about 20 points, consistent with the state's partisan fundamentals and Markey's established record on issues like climate policy. Deaton has emphasized affordability and economic concerns in campaign messaging. Late developments such as a major scandal, significant health event, or sharp national political shift could still narrow the gap, though such scenarios remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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