George Latimer, the incumbent Democrat, holds a commanding 99.2% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, general election in New York’s 16th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic performance and his 71.5% margin in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Safe Democratic, citing its composition in southern Westchester County and the Bronx. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, limiting early volatility. Joseph Cinquemani, the Republican nominee, faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge could still shift outcomes before Election Day, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoVincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-16
Vincitore delle elezioni della Camera NY-16
$41,388 Vol.
$41,388 Vol.
2 nov 2026
George Latimer (D)
99%
Joseph Cinquemani (R)
1%
$41,388 Vol.
$41,388 Vol.
2 nov 2026
George Latimer (D)
$30,812 Vol.
99%
Joseph Cinquemani (R)
$10,577 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).George Latimer, the incumbent Democrat, holds a commanding 99.2% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, general election in New York’s 16th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic performance and his 71.5% margin in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Safe Democratic, citing its composition in southern Westchester County and the Bronx. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, limiting early volatility. Joseph Cinquemani, the Republican nominee, faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge could still shift outcomes before Election Day, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$41,388Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).George Latimer, the incumbent Democrat, holds a commanding 99.2% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, general election in New York’s 16th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic performance and his 71.5% margin in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Safe Democratic, citing its composition in southern Westchester County and the Bronx. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, limiting early volatility. Joseph Cinquemani, the Republican nominee, faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge could still shift outcomes before Election Day, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,388Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...George Latimer, the incumbent Democrat, holds a commanding 99.2% implied probability in trader consensus for the November 3, 2026, general election in New York’s 16th congressional district, reflecting the seat’s consistent Democratic performance and his 71.5% margin in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid or Safe Democratic, citing its composition in southern Westchester County and the Bronx. Both candidates advanced unopposed through the June 2026 primaries, limiting early volatility. Joseph Cinquemani, the Republican nominee, faces structural headwinds in fundraising and voter registration. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Republican midterm surge could still shift outcomes before Election Day, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti