Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election due to his 60.87% victory in the June supplementary contest and a recent Quaest poll showing 60% support against interim governor Soldado Sampaio at 27%. As former mayor of Boa Vista, he benefits from high name recognition and party infrastructure in the small electorate. The supplementary result, though not certified because his candidacy ran sub judice over desincompatibilização timing, reinforced voter preference. Remaining judicial review and low single-digit support for minor candidates such as Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires limit near-term shifts, though a late ruling barring Henrique or major campaign developments could narrow the gap before the October 4 first round.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoArthur Henrique 93%
Soldado Sampaio 4.0%
Farah Mesquita 2.1%
Clébio Genuíno 1.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Arthur Henrique
93%
Soldado Sampaio
4%
Farah Mesquita
2%
Clébio Genuíno
1%
Rosi Aires
1%
Arthur Henrique 93%
Soldado Sampaio 4.0%
Farah Mesquita 2.1%
Clébio Genuíno 1.1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
4 ott 2026
Arthur Henrique
$4,438 Vol.
93%
Soldado Sampaio
$183 Vol.
4%
Farah Mesquita
$153 Vol.
2%
Clébio Genuíno
$281 Vol.
1%
Rosi Aires
$222 Vol.
1%
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election due to his 60.87% victory in the June supplementary contest and a recent Quaest poll showing 60% support against interim governor Soldado Sampaio at 27%. As former mayor of Boa Vista, he benefits from high name recognition and party infrastructure in the small electorate. The supplementary result, though not certified because his candidacy ran sub judice over desincompatibilização timing, reinforced voter preference. Remaining judicial review and low single-digit support for minor candidates such as Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires limit near-term shifts, though a late ruling barring Henrique or major campaign developments could narrow the gap before the October 4 first round.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ET
Volume
$5,277Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election due to his 60.87% victory in the June supplementary contest and a recent Quaest poll showing 60% support against interim governor Soldado Sampaio at 27%. As former mayor of Boa Vista, he benefits from high name recognition and party infrastructure in the small electorate. The supplementary result, though not certified because his candidacy ran sub judice over desincompatibilização timing, reinforced voter preference. Remaining judicial review and low single-digit support for minor candidates such as Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires limit near-term shifts, though a late ruling barring Henrique or major campaign developments could narrow the gap before the October 4 first round.
The Roraima gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5,277Data di fine
4 ott 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:38 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Arthur Henrique (PL) holds a commanding lead in trader pricing for the October 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election due to his 60.87% victory in the June supplementary contest and a recent Quaest poll showing 60% support against interim governor Soldado Sampaio at 27%. As former mayor of Boa Vista, he benefits from high name recognition and party infrastructure in the small electorate. The supplementary result, though not certified because his candidacy ran sub judice over desincompatibilização timing, reinforced voter preference. Remaining judicial review and low single-digit support for minor candidates such as Farah Mesquita and Rosi Aires limit near-term shifts, though a late ruling barring Henrique or major campaign developments could narrow the gap before the October 4 first round.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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