Recent September polls from Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data show Cid Gomes (PSB) leading Ceará’s Senate race at 23-27% as voters select two senators on October 4, leaving a tight contest for second between Capitão Wagner (União) at 16-22% and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13-21%, all within margins of error. Luizianne’s August confirmation on the Elmano de Freitas government ticket alongside Cid has consolidated left-leaning support, while Wagner draws opposition voters aligned with Ciro Gomes’ gubernatorial bid; both trail Cid but remain competitive for the second seat. High undecided shares (10-20%) and voters’ ability to split tickets between the vacancies sustain the narrow gap, with few recent alliance shifts to create separation ahead of the election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ルイジアーニ 40%
カピタン・ワグナー 36%
シジ・ゴメス 22%
アルシデス・フェルナンデス 4.0%
$36,517 Vol.
$36,517 Vol.

ルイジアーニ
40%

カピタン・ワグナー
36%

シジ・ゴメス
22%

アルシデス・フェルナンデス
4%

リノ・アルヴェス
1%

ギリェルメ・テオフィロ
<1%

カタリナ・マトス
<1%

レジナウド
<1%
ルイジアーニ 40%
カピタン・ワグナー 36%
シジ・ゴメス 22%
アルシデス・フェルナンデス 4.0%
$36,517 Vol.
$36,517 Vol.

ルイジアーニ
40%

カピタン・ワグナー
36%

シジ・ゴメス
22%

アルシデス・フェルナンデス
4%

リノ・アルヴェス
1%

ギリェルメ・テオフィロ
<1%

カタリナ・マトス
<1%

レジナウド
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日: Aug 17, 2026, 5:56 AM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent September polls from Datafolha, Quaest, AtlasIntel, and Real Time Big Data show Cid Gomes (PSB) leading Ceará’s Senate race at 23-27% as voters select two senators on October 4, leaving a tight contest for second between Capitão Wagner (União) at 16-22% and Luizianne Lins (Rede) at 13-21%, all within margins of error. Luizianne’s August confirmation on the Elmano de Freitas government ticket alongside Cid has consolidated left-leaning support, while Wagner draws opposition voters aligned with Ciro Gomes’ gubernatorial bid; both trail Cid but remain competitive for the second seat. High undecided shares (10-20%) and voters’ ability to split tickets between the vacancies sustain the narrow gap, with few recent alliance shifts to create separation ahead of the election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日


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