Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C daily maximum in Milan on August 31 because official observations and multiple forecast models converged on this precise peak under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds. Real-time readings from local stations reached 31°C in the afternoon before declining, matching climatological expectations for late-summer highs near 29–30°C while avoiding the hotter anomalies seen in prior heatwaves. Minor model spread on peak timing or localized urban effects exists, yet no credible pathway remains for exceeding 31°C or dropping substantially lower given the day’s advanced stage and stable synoptic pattern. New data releases are unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のミラノの最高気温は?
31°C 99.3%
30°C 9.9%
33°C 5.0%
34°C or higher 5.0%
$175,491 Vol.
$175,491 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
-
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
10%
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
5%
31°C 99.3%
30°C 9.9%
33°C 5.0%
34°C or higher 5.0%
$175,491 Vol.
$175,491 Vol.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
-
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
10%
31°C
99%
32°C
<1%
33°C
5%
34°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders assign near-certainty to a 31°C daily maximum in Milan on August 31 because official observations and multiple forecast models converged on this precise peak under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light westerly winds. Real-time readings from local stations reached 31°C in the afternoon before declining, matching climatological expectations for late-summer highs near 29–30°C while avoiding the hotter anomalies seen in prior heatwaves. Minor model spread on peak timing or localized urban effects exists, yet no credible pathway remains for exceeding 31°C or dropping substantially lower given the day’s advanced stage and stable synoptic pattern. New data releases are unlikely before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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