Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and embedded thunderstorms across Toronto today are limiting solar insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the daytime maximum well below seasonal norms. Environment Canada forecasts a high near 24 °C with humidex values around 29 under southeast flow, yet hourly observations and model guidance show temperatures peaking only in the low- to mid-20s before rain intensifies. This unsettled pattern—driven by a slow-moving moisture surge—explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21 °C (49 %) and 22 °C (23 %), with 20 °C also heavily weighted. Resolution hinges on official Environment Canada maximum readings at Pearson Airport; any breaks in cloud or localized heating could shift outcomes toward 23 °C, but current conditions favor the lower cluster.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8月31日のトロントの最高気温は？
8月31日のトロントの最高気温は？
21°C 49%
22℃ 26%
23°C 12%
20℃ 9%
$59,830 Vol.
$59,830 Vol.
2026/08/31
17°C以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19℃
<1%
20℃
9%
21°C
49%
22℃
26%
23°C
12%
24°C
2%
25℃
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C以上
<1%
21°C 49%
22℃ 26%
23°C 12%
20℃ 9%
$59,830 Vol.
$59,830 Vol.
2026/08/31
17°C以下
$278 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$228 Vol.
<1%
19℃
$8,548 Vol.
<1%
20℃
$6,216 Vol.
9%
21°C
$8,932 Vol.
49%
22℃
$9,228 Vol.
26%
23°C
$7,582 Vol.
12%
24°C
$9,806 Vol.
2%
25℃
$4,198 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,212 Vol.
<1%
27°C以上
$1,602 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and embedded thunderstorms across Toronto today are limiting solar insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the daytime maximum well below seasonal norms. Environment Canada forecasts a high near 24 °C with humidex values around 29 under southeast flow, yet hourly observations and model guidance show temperatures peaking only in the low- to mid-20s before rain intensifies. This unsettled pattern—driven by a slow-moving moisture surge—explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21 °C (49 %) and 22 °C (23 %), with 20 °C also heavily weighted. Resolution hinges on official Environment Canada maximum readings at Pearson Airport; any breaks in cloud or localized heating could shift outcomes toward 23 °C, but current conditions favor the lower cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
音量
$59,830終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and embedded thunderstorms across Toronto today are limiting solar insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the daytime maximum well below seasonal norms. Environment Canada forecasts a high near 24 °C with humidex values around 29 under southeast flow, yet hourly observations and model guidance show temperatures peaking only in the low- to mid-20s before rain intensifies. This unsettled pattern—driven by a slow-moving moisture surge—explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21 °C (49 %) and 22 °C (23 %), with 20 °C also heavily weighted. Resolution hinges on official Environment Canada maximum readings at Pearson Airport; any breaks in cloud or localized heating could shift outcomes toward 23 °C, but current conditions favor the lower cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$59,830終了日
2026/08/31マーケット開始日
Aug 29, 2026, 8:55 AM ETPersistent cloud cover, widespread showers, and embedded thunderstorms across Toronto today are limiting solar insolation and evaporative cooling, suppressing the daytime maximum well below seasonal norms. Environment Canada forecasts a high near 24 °C with humidex values around 29 under southeast flow, yet hourly observations and model guidance show temperatures peaking only in the low- to mid-20s before rain intensifies. This unsettled pattern—driven by a slow-moving moisture surge—explains why traders assign the highest implied probabilities to 21 °C (49 %) and 22 °C (23 %), with 20 °C also heavily weighted. Resolution hinges on official Environment Canada maximum readings at Pearson Airport; any breaks in cloud or localized heating could shift outcomes toward 23 °C, but current conditions favor the lower cluster.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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