**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models and official sources positions 31–32°C as the most probable high for Shanghai on September 1, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes.** Persistent late-summer subtropical conditions, including high humidity (70–90%) and easterly flow, are expected to limit full solar heating despite recent 33–34°C readings on August 31. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 25–50% probability in several runs, should introduce cloud cover that caps afternoon peaks near 31°C, while isolated clearer periods support a modest chance of 32°C. Historical September averages hover around 28–29°C, but the current warm anomaly and steering patterns favor the upper end of the near-term range. Minor model spread on timing of any rain bands creates limited upside risk for 33°C, keeping lower outcomes (30°C or below) as underdogs. Updated NHC/NOAA-style guidance and local agency briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日9月1日の上海の最高気温は？
9月1日の上海の最高気温は？
31°C 62%
32°C 25%
30°C 13%
29°C 4%
新規
$45,415 Vol.
新規
$45,415 Vol.
2026/09/01
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
13%
31°C
62%
32°C
25%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 62%
32°C 25%
30°C 13%
29°C 4%
新規
$45,415 Vol.
新規
$45,415 Vol.
2026/09/01
25°C or below
$2,168 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$746 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,193 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,850 Vol.
1%
29°C
$10,394 Vol.
4%
30°C
$9,218 Vol.
13%
31°C
$9,327 Vol.
62%
32°C
$5,577 Vol.
25%
33°C
$2,392 Vol.
2%
34°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$313 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models and official sources positions 31–32°C as the most probable high for Shanghai on September 1, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes.**
Persistent late-summer subtropical conditions, including high humidity (70–90%) and easterly flow, are expected to limit full solar heating despite recent 33–34°C readings on August 31. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 25–50% probability in several runs, should introduce cloud cover that caps afternoon peaks near 31°C, while isolated clearer periods support a modest chance of 32°C. Historical September averages hover around 28–29°C, but the current warm anomaly and steering patterns favor the upper end of the near-term range. Minor model spread on timing of any rain bands creates limited upside risk for 33°C, keeping lower outcomes (30°C or below) as underdogs. Updated NHC/NOAA-style guidance and local agency briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
マーケット開始日： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
音量
$45,415終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models and official sources positions 31–32°C as the most probable high for Shanghai on September 1, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes.**
Persistent late-summer subtropical conditions, including high humidity (70–90%) and easterly flow, are expected to limit full solar heating despite recent 33–34°C readings on August 31. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 25–50% probability in several runs, should introduce cloud cover that caps afternoon peaks near 31°C, while isolated clearer periods support a modest chance of 32°C. Historical September averages hover around 28–29°C, but the current warm anomaly and steering patterns favor the upper end of the near-term range. Minor model spread on timing of any rain bands creates limited upside risk for 33°C, keeping lower outcomes (30°C or below) as underdogs. Updated NHC/NOAA-style guidance and local agency briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
音量
$45,415終了日
2026/09/01マーケット開始日
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models and official sources positions 31–32°C as the most probable high for Shanghai on September 1, aligning with the market's heavy weighting toward those outcomes.** Persistent late-summer subtropical conditions, including high humidity (70–90%) and easterly flow, are expected to limit full solar heating despite recent 33–34°C readings on August 31. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 25–50% probability in several runs, should introduce cloud cover that caps afternoon peaks near 31°C, while isolated clearer periods support a modest chance of 32°C. Historical September averages hover around 28–29°C, but the current warm anomaly and steering patterns favor the upper end of the near-term range. Minor model spread on timing of any rain bands creates limited upside risk for 33°C, keeping lower outcomes (30°C or below) as underdogs. Updated NHC/NOAA-style guidance and local agency briefings tomorrow morning will provide the final resolution inputs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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