The August 2026 ISM Services PMI print of 55.4, exceeding the 54.3 consensus and July’s 54.1, has anchored market-implied odds for the September reading near the mid-54s. Robust subcomponents—business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9—signaled sustained demand momentum into late summer, while backlogs and inventories also firmed. Traders are weighing the potential for continued expansion against risks of moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, given the employment index’s second consecutive contraction at 47.8 and the prices-paid gauge climbing to a four-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and supply-chain pressures. The September release, scheduled for early October, will test whether seasonal resilience persists or yields to cautious hiring and elevated input costs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日54.0〜54.9 25%
53.0から53.9 19%
57.0〜57.9 16.4%
56.0〜56.9 15%
$14,915 Vol.
$14,915 Vol.
51.0未満
1%
51.0から51.9
1%
52.0〜52.9
5%
53.0から53.9
19%
54.0〜54.9
25%
55.0から55.9
14%
56.0〜56.9
15%
57.0〜57.9
16%
58.0から58.9
4%
59.0以上
11%
54.0〜54.9 25%
53.0から53.9 19%
57.0〜57.9 16.4%
56.0〜56.9 15%
$14,915 Vol.
$14,915 Vol.
51.0未満
1%
51.0から51.9
1%
52.0〜52.9
5%
53.0から53.9
19%
54.0〜54.9
25%
55.0から55.9
14%
56.0〜56.9
15%
57.0〜57.9
16%
58.0から58.9
4%
59.0以上
11%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
マーケット開始日: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The August 2026 ISM Services PMI print of 55.4, exceeding the 54.3 consensus and July’s 54.1, has anchored market-implied odds for the September reading near the mid-54s. Robust subcomponents—business activity at 61.7 and new orders at 60.9—signaled sustained demand momentum into late summer, while backlogs and inventories also firmed. Traders are weighing the potential for continued expansion against risks of moderation toward the 12-month average near 53.7, given the employment index’s second consecutive contraction at 47.8 and the prices-paid gauge climbing to a four-year high of 72.6 amid tariff and supply-chain pressures. The September release, scheduled for early October, will test whether seasonal resilience persists or yields to cautious hiring and elevated input costs.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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