Aaron Flint holds the lead in trader consensus for Montana’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s Republican tilt and his strong primary performance. The open district, vacated by retiring Rep. Ryan Zinke, carries an R+5 partisan voting index and favored Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential election. Flint, a radio host endorsed by President Trump and backed by Zinke, secured the GOP nomination with roughly half the primary vote. Democrat Sam Forstag, a union smokejumper who won his primary with support from Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, faces structural headwinds in the general election. A June internal poll showed the race tied, but subsequent ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the contest as likely Republican. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$11,155 Vol.
$11,155 Vol.
2026/11/03
アーロン・フリント（共和党）
62%
サム・フォースタグ（民主党）
38%
$11,155 Vol.
$11,155 Vol.
2026/11/03
アーロン・フリント（共和党）
$6,183 Vol.
62%
サム・フォースタグ（民主党）
$4,972 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint holds the lead in trader consensus for Montana’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s Republican tilt and his strong primary performance. The open district, vacated by retiring Rep. Ryan Zinke, carries an R+5 partisan voting index and favored Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential election. Flint, a radio host endorsed by President Trump and backed by Zinke, secured the GOP nomination with roughly half the primary vote. Democrat Sam Forstag, a union smokejumper who won his primary with support from Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, faces structural headwinds in the general election. A June internal poll showed the race tied, but subsequent ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the contest as likely Republican. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
音量
$11,155終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Aaron Flint holds the lead in trader consensus for Montana’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s Republican tilt and his strong primary performance. The open district, vacated by retiring Rep. Ryan Zinke, carries an R+5 partisan voting index and favored Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential election. Flint, a radio host endorsed by President Trump and backed by Zinke, secured the GOP nomination with roughly half the primary vote. Democrat Sam Forstag, a union smokejumper who won his primary with support from Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, faces structural headwinds in the general election. A June internal poll showed the race tied, but subsequent ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the contest as likely Republican. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$11,155終了日
2026/11/04マーケット開始日
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Aaron Flint holds the lead in trader consensus for Montana’s 1st Congressional District due to the seat’s Republican tilt and his strong primary performance. The open district, vacated by retiring Rep. Ryan Zinke, carries an R+5 partisan voting index and favored Republicans by double digits in the prior presidential election. Flint, a radio host endorsed by President Trump and backed by Zinke, secured the GOP nomination with roughly half the primary vote. Democrat Sam Forstag, a union smokejumper who won his primary with support from Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, faces structural headwinds in the general election. A June internal poll showed the race tied, but subsequent ratings from Cook Political Report and others classify the contest as likely Republican. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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