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米国で取引するにはpolymarket.us

icon for 次のDeepSeek Proは...によってリリースされましたか?

次のDeepSeek Proは...によってリリースされましたか?

icon for 次のDeepSeek Proは...によってリリースされましたか?

次のDeepSeek Proは...によってリリースされましたか?

新規
2026/09/30
Polymarket

$2,133 Vol.

Polymarket

9月30日

$345 Vol.

38%

10月31日

$751 Vol.

38%

11月30日

$1,038 Vol.

73%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Pro," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Pro would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, such as DeepSeek-V4-Flash or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's flagship endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's flagship model. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.DeepSeek’s recent general availability release of its V4 Pro model (designated V4-Pro-0813) on August 13, 2026, after a four-month preview, has reset expectations for the next flagship iteration. The update delivered major gains in agentic performance across benchmarks like Terminal-Bench and DeepSWE, introduced flexible reasoning modes, OpenAI-compatible APIs, and peak/off-peak pricing, while maintaining the 1.6-trillion-parameter MoE architecture and MIT-licensed open weights. This followed the July official rollout of the smaller V4 Flash variant, which briefly outperformed the Pro preview on agent tasks, highlighting DeepSeek’s rapid post-training refinements amid intensifying competition from Chinese labs such as Zhipu, Moonshot, and Alibaba. Traders are watching the company’s ongoing hardware expansion, including planned Huawei Ascend deployments, and any signals around V5 timelines or further open-source releases that could accelerate the next Pro cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Pro," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Pro would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, such as DeepSeek-V4-Flash or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's flagship endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's flagship model.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Pro," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Pro would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, such as DeepSeek-V4-Flash or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's flagship endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's flagship model. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,133
終了日
2026/11/30
マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 5:51 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Pro," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Pro would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, such as DeepSeek-V4-Flash or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's flagship endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's flagship model. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.DeepSeek’s recent general availability release of its V4 Pro model (designated V4-Pro-0813) on August 13, 2026, after a four-month preview, has reset expectations for the next flagship iteration. The update delivered major gains in agentic performance across benchmarks like Terminal-Bench and DeepSWE, introduced flexible reasoning modes, OpenAI-compatible APIs, and peak/off-peak pricing, while maintaining the 1.6-trillion-parameter MoE architecture and MIT-licensed open weights. This followed the July official rollout of the smaller V4 Flash variant, which briefly outperformed the Pro preview on agent tasks, highlighting DeepSeek’s rapid post-training refinements amid intensifying competition from Chinese labs such as Zhipu, Moonshot, and Alibaba. Traders are watching the company’s ongoing hardware expansion, including planned Huawei Ascend deployments, and any signals around V5 timelines or further open-source releases that could accelerate the next Pro cycle.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Pro," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Pro would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, such as DeepSeek-V4-Flash or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's flagship endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's flagship model.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if DeepSeek's next Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Pro," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Pro, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Pro would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, such as DeepSeek-V4-Flash or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Pro-0813, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's flagship endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's flagship model. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
音量
$2,133
終了日
2026/11/30
マーケット開始日
Sep 2, 2026, 5:51 AM ET

リゾルバー

0x65070BE91...

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「次のDeepSeek Proは...によってリリースされましたか?」はPolymarket上の3個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「11月30日」で73%、次いで「9月30日」が38%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、73¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に73%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「次のDeepSeek Proは...によってリリースされましたか?」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 14, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「次のDeepSeek Proは...によってリリースされましたか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている3個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「次のDeepSeek Proは...によってリリースされましたか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「11月30日」で73%であり、市場がこの結果に73%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「9月30日」で38%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「次のDeepSeek Proは...によってリリースされましたか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。