Recent polling from multiple institutes, including Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas conducted in mid-September 2026, shows Professora Dorinha (União) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) in a technical tie for the Tocantins governorship, with first-round support in the mid-30s percent range and other registered candidates trailing well behind. This narrow gap in voter intentions, consistent across surveys with margins of error around 2-3 points, aligns with the closely matched market pricing. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff leave room for last-minute shifts from campaign momentum, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or late developments in the multi-candidate field. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty in a race without a clear frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Professora Dorinha 54%
Vicentinho Júnior 39%
Du Pereira <1%
Ataides de Oliveira <1%
$17,423 Vol.
$17,423 Vol.
2026/10/04
Professora Dorinha
54%
Vicentinho Júnior
46%
Du Pereira
1%
Ataides de Oliveira
<1%
Laurez Moreira
<1%
Prof. Witer Naves
<1%
Subtenente Luiz Carlos
<1%
Professora Dorinha 54%
Vicentinho Júnior 39%
Du Pereira <1%
Ataides de Oliveira <1%
$17,423 Vol.
$17,423 Vol.
2026/10/04
Professora Dorinha
$3,662 Vol.
54%
Vicentinho Júnior
$6,313 Vol.
46%
Du Pereira
$2,542 Vol.
1%
Ataides de Oliveira
$1,720 Vol.
<1%
Laurez Moreira
$645 Vol.
<1%
Prof. Witer Naves
$1,515 Vol.
<1%
Subtenente Luiz Carlos
$1,027 Vol.
<1%
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from multiple institutes, including Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas conducted in mid-September 2026, shows Professora Dorinha (União) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) in a technical tie for the Tocantins governorship, with first-round support in the mid-30s percent range and other registered candidates trailing well behind. This narrow gap in voter intentions, consistent across surveys with margins of error around 2-3 points, aligns with the closely matched market pricing. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff leave room for last-minute shifts from campaign momentum, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or late developments in the multi-candidate field. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty in a race without a clear frontrunner.
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
マーケット開始日： Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ET
音量
$17,423終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from multiple institutes, including Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas conducted in mid-September 2026, shows Professora Dorinha (União) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) in a technical tie for the Tocantins governorship, with first-round support in the mid-30s percent range and other registered candidates trailing well behind. This narrow gap in voter intentions, consistent across surveys with margins of error around 2-3 points, aligns with the closely matched market pricing. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff leave room for last-minute shifts from campaign momentum, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or late developments in the multi-candidate field. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty in a race without a clear frontrunner.
The Tocantins gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
音量
$17,423終了日
2026/10/04マーケット開始日
Aug 17, 2026, 5:39 AM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from multiple institutes, including Real Time Big Data and Paraná Pesquisas conducted in mid-September 2026, shows Professora Dorinha (União) and Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) in a technical tie for the Tocantins governorship, with first-round support in the mid-30s percent range and other registered candidates trailing well behind. This narrow gap in voter intentions, consistent across surveys with margins of error around 2-3 points, aligns with the closely matched market pricing. The October 4 first-round vote and potential October 25 runoff leave room for last-minute shifts from campaign momentum, turnout patterns among key voting blocs, or late developments in the multi-candidate field. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty in a race without a clear frontrunner.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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