Arizona’s 6th Congressional District remains one of the most closely watched House races heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani facing Democrat JoAnna Mendoza. The seat has seen narrow Republican victories in the prior two cycles, yet Democrats have carried the district in recent statewide contests. Trader positioning favoring Mendoza aligns with spring and early summer polling showing her holding a slight edge, combined with her stronger cash position in multiple reporting periods and the district’s underlying partisan indicators. Both candidates cleared uncontested primaries in July, clearing the path for a head-to-head contest where turnout patterns in Pima County and surrounding areas will likely decide the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoAZ-06 Vencedor da Eleição da Câmara
AZ-06 Vencedor da Eleição da Câmara
$11,606 Vol.
$11,606 Vol.
3 nov 2026
JoAnna Mendoza (D)
83%
Juan Ciscomani (R)
19%
$11,606 Vol.
$11,606 Vol.
3 nov 2026
JoAnna Mendoza (D)
$3,889 Vol.
83%
Juan Ciscomani (R)
$7,717 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th Congressional District remains one of the most closely watched House races heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani facing Democrat JoAnna Mendoza. The seat has seen narrow Republican victories in the prior two cycles, yet Democrats have carried the district in recent statewide contests. Trader positioning favoring Mendoza aligns with spring and early summer polling showing her holding a slight edge, combined with her stronger cash position in multiple reporting periods and the district’s underlying partisan indicators. Both candidates cleared uncontested primaries in July, clearing the path for a head-to-head contest where turnout patterns in Pima County and surrounding areas will likely decide the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Volume
$11,606Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th Congressional District remains one of the most closely watched House races heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani facing Democrat JoAnna Mendoza. The seat has seen narrow Republican victories in the prior two cycles, yet Democrats have carried the district in recent statewide contests. Trader positioning favoring Mendoza aligns with spring and early summer polling showing her holding a slight edge, combined with her stronger cash position in multiple reporting periods and the district’s underlying partisan indicators. Both candidates cleared uncontested primaries in July, clearing the path for a head-to-head contest where turnout patterns in Pima County and surrounding areas will likely decide the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$11,606Data de Término
4 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 6th Congressional District remains one of the most closely watched House races heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, with incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani facing Democrat JoAnna Mendoza. The seat has seen narrow Republican victories in the prior two cycles, yet Democrats have carried the district in recent statewide contests. Trader positioning favoring Mendoza aligns with spring and early summer polling showing her holding a slight edge, combined with her stronger cash position in multiple reporting periods and the district’s underlying partisan indicators. Both candidates cleared uncontested primaries in July, clearing the path for a head-to-head contest where turnout patterns in Pima County and surrounding areas will likely decide the outcome.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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