José Maria Neves holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for Cape Verde’s November 15, 2026, presidential election, reflecting his status as the PAICV incumbent and the party’s recent parliamentary victory that installed a PAICV prime minister. With filing deadlines approaching in mid-September and eligibility rules requiring Constitutional Court approval plus 1,000–4,000 signatures, the market prices in strong continuity for the sitting president amid a semi-presidential system. Opposition figures, including MpD-backed Joana Rosa and Janine Lélis, register only single-digit implied probabilities despite party endorsements, underscoring limited expectations for a first-round upset in the two-round contest. Recent developments, such as the president’s institutional actions and the orderly post-parliamentary transition, have reinforced perceptions of stability without notable late shifts in positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoVencedor das eleições presidenciais de Cabo Verde
Vencedor das eleições presidenciais de Cabo Verde
José Maria Neves 82%
Janine Lélis 4.2%
Casimiro de Pina 2.7%
Péricles Tavares 2.2%
$20,446 Vol.
$20,446 Vol.
15 nov 2026
José Maria Neves
82%
Janine Lélis
4%
Casimiro de Pina
3%
Péricles Tavares
2%
Milton Paiva
2%
Joana Rosa
1%
Fernando Delgado
1%
José Maria Neves 82%
Janine Lélis 4.2%
Casimiro de Pina 2.7%
Péricles Tavares 2.2%
$20,446 Vol.
$20,446 Vol.
15 nov 2026
José Maria Neves
$13,734 Vol.
82%
Janine Lélis
$2,801 Vol.
4%
Casimiro de Pina
$640 Vol.
3%
Péricles Tavares
$772 Vol.
2%
Milton Paiva
$394 Vol.
2%
Joana Rosa
$1,731 Vol.
1%
Fernando Delgado
$375 Vol.
1%
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).José Maria Neves holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for Cape Verde’s November 15, 2026, presidential election, reflecting his status as the PAICV incumbent and the party’s recent parliamentary victory that installed a PAICV prime minister. With filing deadlines approaching in mid-September and eligibility rules requiring Constitutional Court approval plus 1,000–4,000 signatures, the market prices in strong continuity for the sitting president amid a semi-presidential system. Opposition figures, including MpD-backed Joana Rosa and Janine Lélis, register only single-digit implied probabilities despite party endorsements, underscoring limited expectations for a first-round upset in the two-round contest. Recent developments, such as the president’s institutional actions and the orderly post-parliamentary transition, have reinforced perceptions of stability without notable late shifts in positioning.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Mercado Aberto: Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ET
Volume
$20,446Data de Término
15 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).José Maria Neves holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for Cape Verde’s November 15, 2026, presidential election, reflecting his status as the PAICV incumbent and the party’s recent parliamentary victory that installed a PAICV prime minister. With filing deadlines approaching in mid-September and eligibility rules requiring Constitutional Court approval plus 1,000–4,000 signatures, the market prices in strong continuity for the sitting president amid a semi-presidential system. Opposition figures, including MpD-backed Joana Rosa and Janine Lélis, register only single-digit implied probabilities despite party endorsements, underscoring limited expectations for a first-round upset in the two-round contest. Recent developments, such as the president’s institutional actions and the orderly post-parliamentary transition, have reinforced perceptions of stability without notable late shifts in positioning.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in Cape Verde on November 15, 2026, with a second round to be held on November 29, 2026 if no candidate receives a majority of valid votes.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Cape Verde presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the Cape Verde, including the National Commission of Elections (https://cne.cv/).
Volume
$20,446Data de Término
15 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Aug 11, 2026, 8:33 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...José Maria Neves holds an overwhelming lead in trader consensus for Cape Verde’s November 15, 2026, presidential election, reflecting his status as the PAICV incumbent and the party’s recent parliamentary victory that installed a PAICV prime minister. With filing deadlines approaching in mid-September and eligibility rules requiring Constitutional Court approval plus 1,000–4,000 signatures, the market prices in strong continuity for the sitting president amid a semi-presidential system. Opposition figures, including MpD-backed Joana Rosa and Janine Lélis, register only single-digit implied probabilities despite party endorsements, underscoring limited expectations for a first-round upset in the two-round contest. Recent developments, such as the president’s institutional actions and the orderly post-parliamentary transition, have reinforced perceptions of stability without notable late shifts in positioning.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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