The early stage of the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race, scheduled for June 6, keeps individual candidate probabilities tightly clustered in trader consensus, reflecting uncertainty over Morena's internal selection process ahead of the general election. Recent surveys from mid-2026 show Morena holding a wide party-level lead of roughly 43-53% in voter intention, far ahead of the PRI and other opposition parties, while Beatriz Mojica Morga consistently tops Morena preferences ahead of Esthela Damián Peralta, Abelina López Rodríguez, and others. This dominance, combined with pending coalition negotiations and candidate definition timelines, limits separation among frontrunners and sustains elevated odds dispersion across listed contenders until primary dynamics or polling shifts provide clearer signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoBeatriz Mojica Morga 48.4%
Esthela Damián Peralta 29.6%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña 5.5%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 5.3%
$23,926 Vol.
$23,926 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
48%
Esthela Damián Peralta
30%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
6%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
5%
Mario Moreno Arcos
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
4%
Erika Lorena Lührs
2%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
2%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
2%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
6%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
6%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 48.4%
Esthela Damián Peralta 29.6%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña 5.5%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 5.3%
$23,926 Vol.
$23,926 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
48%
Esthela Damián Peralta
30%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
6%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
5%
Mario Moreno Arcos
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
4%
Erika Lorena Lührs
2%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
2%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
2%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
6%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
6%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Mercado Aberto: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The early stage of the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial race, scheduled for June 6, keeps individual candidate probabilities tightly clustered in trader consensus, reflecting uncertainty over Morena's internal selection process ahead of the general election. Recent surveys from mid-2026 show Morena holding a wide party-level lead of roughly 43-53% in voter intention, far ahead of the PRI and other opposition parties, while Beatriz Mojica Morga consistently tops Morena preferences ahead of Esthela Damián Peralta, Abelina López Rodríguez, and others. This dominance, combined with pending coalition negotiations and candidate definition timelines, limits separation among frontrunners and sustains elevated odds dispersion across listed contenders until primary dynamics or polling shifts provide clearer signals.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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