Incumbent Mike Quigley holds a commanding position in the Illinois 5th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, his long tenure since 2009, and consistent large-margin victories over Republican challenger Tommy Hanson in prior cycles. Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against multiple opponents, while Hanson prevailed in the Republican primary. Forecasters rate the district as solidly Democratic, and Quigley's substantial fundraising edge reinforces trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout patterns in this safely held seat ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoIL-05 Vencedor da eleição da casa
IL-05 Vencedor da eleição da casa
$25,272 Vol.
$25,272 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Quigley (D)
95%
Tommy Hanson (R)
5%
$25,272 Vol.
$25,272 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Mike Quigley (D)
$8,976 Vol.
95%
Tommy Hanson (R)
$16,296 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Quigley holds a commanding position in the Illinois 5th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, his long tenure since 2009, and consistent large-margin victories over Republican challenger Tommy Hanson in prior cycles. Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against multiple opponents, while Hanson prevailed in the Republican primary. Forecasters rate the district as solidly Democratic, and Quigley's substantial fundraising edge reinforces trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout patterns in this safely held seat ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado Aberto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$25,272Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Mike Quigley holds a commanding position in the Illinois 5th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, his long tenure since 2009, and consistent large-margin victories over Republican challenger Tommy Hanson in prior cycles. Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against multiple opponents, while Hanson prevailed in the Republican primary. Forecasters rate the district as solidly Democratic, and Quigley's substantial fundraising edge reinforces trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout patterns in this safely held seat ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,272Data de Término
3 nov 2026Mercado Aberto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Mike Quigley holds a commanding position in the Illinois 5th congressional district race due to the seat's strong Democratic lean, his long tenure since 2009, and consistent large-margin victories over Republican challenger Tommy Hanson in prior cycles. Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 65 percent of the vote against multiple opponents, while Hanson prevailed in the Republican primary. Forecasters rate the district as solidly Democratic, and Quigley's substantial fundraising edge reinforces trader consensus reflected in current pricing. A realistic shift in odds would require an unforeseen late development such as a significant scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Republican wave altering turnout patterns in this safely held seat ahead of the November general election.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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