Recent strength in U.S. services activity, highlighted by the August ISM Services PMI rising to 55.4 from July’s 54.1 and beating consensus, anchors trader expectations for September near the mid-54 range. Business activity and new orders surged above 60 while backlogs and inventories expanded, reflecting resilient demand amid positive summer seasonality. Persistent headwinds, including contracting employment at 47.8 for a second month, elevated prices paid at a four-year high of 72.6 driven by tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, and cautious hiring trends, introduce downside risks toward the 12-month average near 53.7. Market-implied probabilities across the 54.0–55.9 bins capture this balance between sustained momentum and potential moderation ahead of the early-October release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado54,0 a 54,9 32%
55,0 a 55,9 23%
57,0 a 57,9 20.3%
52,0 a 52,9 10.1%
NOVO
NOVO
5 out 2026
<51,0
1%
51,0 a 51,9
1%
52,0 a 52,9
10%
53,0 a 53,9
10%
54,0 a 54,9
32%
55,0 a 55,9
23%
56,0 a 56,9
10%
57,0 a 57,9
21%
58,0 a 58,9
10%
59,0+
9%
54,0 a 54,9 32%
55,0 a 55,9 23%
57,0 a 57,9 20.3%
52,0 a 52,9 10.1%
NOVO
NOVO
5 out 2026
<51,0
$832 Vol.
1%
51,0 a 51,9
$127 Vol.
1%
52,0 a 52,9
$127 Vol.
10%
53,0 a 53,9
$370 Vol.
10%
54,0 a 54,9
$3,857 Vol.
32%
55,0 a 55,9
$168 Vol.
23%
56,0 a 56,9
$670 Vol.
10%
57,0 a 57,9
$1,918 Vol.
21%
58,0 a 58,9
$139 Vol.
10%
59,0+
$168 Vol.
9%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent strength in U.S. services activity, highlighted by the August ISM Services PMI rising to 55.4 from July’s 54.1 and beating consensus, anchors trader expectations for September near the mid-54 range. Business activity and new orders surged above 60 while backlogs and inventories expanded, reflecting resilient demand amid positive summer seasonality. Persistent headwinds, including contracting employment at 47.8 for a second month, elevated prices paid at a four-year high of 72.6 driven by tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, and cautious hiring trends, introduce downside risks toward the 12-month average near 53.7. Market-implied probabilities across the 54.0–55.9 bins capture this balance between sustained momentum and potential moderation ahead of the early-October release.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Mercado Aberto: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$8,376Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent strength in U.S. services activity, highlighted by the August ISM Services PMI rising to 55.4 from July’s 54.1 and beating consensus, anchors trader expectations for September near the mid-54 range. Business activity and new orders surged above 60 while backlogs and inventories expanded, reflecting resilient demand amid positive summer seasonality. Persistent headwinds, including contracting employment at 47.8 for a second month, elevated prices paid at a four-year high of 72.6 driven by tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, and cautious hiring trends, introduce downside risks toward the 12-month average near 53.7. Market-implied probabilities across the 54.0–55.9 bins capture this balance between sustained momentum and potential moderation ahead of the early-October release.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$8,376Data de Término
5 out 2026Mercado Aberto
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent strength in U.S. services activity, highlighted by the August ISM Services PMI rising to 55.4 from July’s 54.1 and beating consensus, anchors trader expectations for September near the mid-54 range. Business activity and new orders surged above 60 while backlogs and inventories expanded, reflecting resilient demand amid positive summer seasonality. Persistent headwinds, including contracting employment at 47.8 for a second month, elevated prices paid at a four-year high of 72.6 driven by tariffs and Middle East supply disruptions, and cautious hiring trends, introduce downside risks toward the 12-month average near 53.7. Market-implied probabilities across the 54.0–55.9 bins capture this balance between sustained momentum and potential moderation ahead of the early-October release.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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