Recent polling in Alagoas for the two Senate seats shows Arthur Lira (PP) and Renan Calheiros (MDB) holding narrow leads in combined first- and second-vote intentions, with Marina JHC (PSDB) and Davi Davino Filho (Republicanos) close behind amid high undecided shares. Voter selection of two distinct candidates, coupled with shifting alliances tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest between João Henrique Caldas and Renan Filho, sustains the tight positioning reflected in trader consensus. Late-August surveys indicate persistent statistical ties within margins of error, while early momentum for other names has moderated without decisive new endorsements or events. Separation could emerge from turnout patterns in key municipalities, final coalition alignments, or shifts among independents before the October vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоАртур Лира 43%
Ренан 38%
Марина JHC 17.8%
Александр Флеминг <1%
$15,491 Объем
$15,491 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Артур Лира
43%
Ренан
38%
Марина JHC
18%
Александр Флеминг
1%
Доктор Вандерлей
<1%
Мариедсон
<1%
Дэви Давино Фильо
<1%
Артур Лира 43%
Ренан 38%
Марина JHC 17.8%
Александр Флеминг <1%
$15,491 Объем
$15,491 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Артур Лира
$7,231 Объем
43%
Ренан
$6,008 Объем
38%
Марина JHC
$565 Объем
18%
Александр Флеминг
$453 Объем
1%
Доктор Вандерлей
$513 Объем
<1%
Мариедсон
$408 Объем
<1%
Дэви Давино Фильо
$313 Объем
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Alagoas for the two Senate seats shows Arthur Lira (PP) and Renan Calheiros (MDB) holding narrow leads in combined first- and second-vote intentions, with Marina JHC (PSDB) and Davi Davino Filho (Republicanos) close behind amid high undecided shares. Voter selection of two distinct candidates, coupled with shifting alliances tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest between João Henrique Caldas and Renan Filho, sustains the tight positioning reflected in trader consensus. Late-August surveys indicate persistent statistical ties within margins of error, while early momentum for other names has moderated without decisive new endorsements or events. Separation could emerge from turnout patterns in key municipalities, final coalition alignments, or shifts among independents before the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ET
Объем
$15,491Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Alagoas for the two Senate seats shows Arthur Lira (PP) and Renan Calheiros (MDB) holding narrow leads in combined first- and second-vote intentions, with Marina JHC (PSDB) and Davi Davino Filho (Republicanos) close behind amid high undecided shares. Voter selection of two distinct candidates, coupled with shifting alliances tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest between João Henrique Caldas and Renan Filho, sustains the tight positioning reflected in trader consensus. Late-August surveys indicate persistent statistical ties within margins of error, while early momentum for other names has moderated without decisive new endorsements or events. Separation could emerge from turnout patterns in key municipalities, final coalition alignments, or shifts among independents before the October vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Alagoas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$15,491Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 5:51 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Alagoas for the two Senate seats shows Arthur Lira (PP) and Renan Calheiros (MDB) holding narrow leads in combined first- and second-vote intentions, with Marina JHC (PSDB) and Davi Davino Filho (Republicanos) close behind amid high undecided shares. Voter selection of two distinct candidates, coupled with shifting alliances tied to the concurrent gubernatorial contest between João Henrique Caldas and Renan Filho, sustains the tight positioning reflected in trader consensus. Late-August surveys indicate persistent statistical ties within margins of error, while early momentum for other names has moderated without decisive new endorsements or events. Separation could emerge from turnout patterns in key municipalities, final coalition alignments, or shifts among independents before the October vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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