California’s 7th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 and rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, features an all-Democratic general election matchup after the June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang. The district’s partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and Sacramento-area demographics have produced consistent Democratic majorities, reflected in trader consensus pricing the party outcome above 90 percent. With the Republican candidates eliminated, the November result hinges on Democratic turnout and any late internal dynamics between the two nominees. A significant scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout collapse would be required to alter the outcome at this stage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$12,782 Объем
$12,782 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
97%
Республиканская партия
1%
$12,782 Объем
$12,782 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$6,634 Объем
97%
Республиканская партия
$6,147 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 7th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 and rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, features an all-Democratic general election matchup after the June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang. The district’s partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and Sacramento-area demographics have produced consistent Democratic majorities, reflected in trader consensus pricing the party outcome above 90 percent. With the Republican candidates eliminated, the November result hinges on Democratic turnout and any late internal dynamics between the two nominees. A significant scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout collapse would be required to alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$12,782Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 7th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 and rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, features an all-Democratic general election matchup after the June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang. The district’s partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and Sacramento-area demographics have produced consistent Democratic majorities, reflected in trader consensus pricing the party outcome above 90 percent. With the Republican candidates eliminated, the November result hinges on Democratic turnout and any late internal dynamics between the two nominees. A significant scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout collapse would be required to alter the outcome at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$12,782Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 7th congressional district, redrawn under Proposition 50 and rated Solid or Safe Democratic by major forecasters, features an all-Democratic general election matchup after the June 2026 top-two primary advanced incumbent Doris Matsui and challenger Mai Vang. The district’s partisan lean, historical voting patterns, and Sacramento-area demographics have produced consistent Democratic majorities, reflected in trader consensus pricing the party outcome above 90 percent. With the Republican candidates eliminated, the November result hinges on Democratic turnout and any late internal dynamics between the two nominees. A significant scandal, health event, or unforeseen turnout collapse would be required to alter the outcome at this stage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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