Laura Friedman’s commanding position in the CA-30 general election stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly blue Los Angeles-area district that favored her party by roughly 20 points in recent cycles. She secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Scott Meyers, who finished second at roughly 17 percent. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns, Friedman’s established fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive challengers. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only under extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal or health event, scenarios traders currently assign very low probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей CA-30
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей CA-30
$24,273 Объем
$24,273 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Лаура Фридман (Д)
96%
Скотт Мейерс (Р)
4%
$24,273 Объем
$24,273 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Лаура Фридман (Д)
$13,073 Объем
96%
Скотт Мейерс (Р)
$11,200 Объем
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Laura Friedman’s commanding position in the CA-30 general election stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly blue Los Angeles-area district that favored her party by roughly 20 points in recent cycles. She secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Scott Meyers, who finished second at roughly 17 percent. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns, Friedman’s established fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive challengers. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only under extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal or health event, scenarios traders currently assign very low probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Объем
$24,273Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Laura Friedman’s commanding position in the CA-30 general election stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly blue Los Angeles-area district that favored her party by roughly 20 points in recent cycles. She secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Scott Meyers, who finished second at roughly 17 percent. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns, Friedman’s established fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive challengers. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only under extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal or health event, scenarios traders currently assign very low probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$24,273Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Laura Friedman’s commanding position in the CA-30 general election stems from her status as the Democratic incumbent in a solidly blue Los Angeles-area district that favored her party by roughly 20 points in recent cycles. She secured the top spot in the June 2026 top-two primary with over 52 percent of the vote, advancing alongside Republican Scott Meyers, who finished second at roughly 17 percent. Forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting consistent partisan patterns, Friedman’s established fundraising edge, and the absence of competitive challengers. The November 3 general election outcome could shift only under extraordinary late developments such as a major scandal or health event, scenarios traders currently assign very low probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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