Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 41st congressional district boundaries to create a solidly Democratic seat in eastern Los Angeles County, with forecasters rating it Safe or Solid Democratic. Incumbent Linda Sánchez advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary ahead of Republican Mitch Clemmons, reflecting the district's partisan composition and her established fundraising and endorsements. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural factors and historical performance in comparable California districts, assigning the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability for the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-41 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-41 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$17,008 Объем
$17,008 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Линда Санчес (Д)
95%
Митч Клеммонс (Р)
6%
$17,008 Объем
$17,008 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Линда Санчес (Д)
$8,593 Объем
95%
Митч Клеммонс (Р)
$8,415 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 41st congressional district boundaries to create a solidly Democratic seat in eastern Los Angeles County, with forecasters rating it Safe or Solid Democratic. Incumbent Linda Sánchez advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary ahead of Republican Mitch Clemmons, reflecting the district's partisan composition and her established fundraising and endorsements. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural factors and historical performance in comparable California districts, assigning the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability for the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
Объем
$17,008Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 41st congressional district boundaries to create a solidly Democratic seat in eastern Los Angeles County, with forecasters rating it Safe or Solid Democratic. Incumbent Linda Sánchez advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary ahead of Republican Mitch Clemmons, reflecting the district's partisan composition and her established fundraising and endorsements. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural factors and historical performance in comparable California districts, assigning the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability for the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-41 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$17,008Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted California's 41st congressional district boundaries to create a solidly Democratic seat in eastern Los Angeles County, with forecasters rating it Safe or Solid Democratic. Incumbent Linda Sánchez advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary ahead of Republican Mitch Clemmons, reflecting the district's partisan composition and her established fundraising and endorsements. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these structural factors and historical performance in comparable California districts, assigning the Democratic nominee overwhelming implied probability for the November 3 general election. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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