Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district with roughly 48% of the vote, ahead of Republican challenger Steve Cohen at about 40%. The district, redrawn under 2025's Proposition 50, retains a Democratic lean despite a modest reduction in the party's registration edge. Nonpartisan forecasts from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Peters maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from incumbency advantages in a San Diego-area constituency that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Cohen, a former local news executive, has secured Republican endorsements but trails significantly in resources and polling positioning. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-50 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-50 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$64,386 Объем
$64,386 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Скотт Питерс (Д)
96%
Стив Коэн (Р)
5%
$64,386 Объем
$64,386 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Скотт Питерс (Д)
$38,700 Объем
96%
Стив Коэн (Р)
$25,686 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district with roughly 48% of the vote, ahead of Republican challenger Steve Cohen at about 40%. The district, redrawn under 2025's Proposition 50, retains a Democratic lean despite a modest reduction in the party's registration edge. Nonpartisan forecasts from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Peters maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from incumbency advantages in a San Diego-area constituency that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Cohen, a former local news executive, has secured Republican endorsements but trails significantly in resources and polling positioning. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$64,386Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district with roughly 48% of the vote, ahead of Republican challenger Steve Cohen at about 40%. The district, redrawn under 2025's Proposition 50, retains a Democratic lean despite a modest reduction in the party's registration edge. Nonpartisan forecasts from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Peters maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from incumbency advantages in a San Diego-area constituency that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Cohen, a former local news executive, has secured Republican endorsements but trails significantly in resources and polling positioning. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$64,386Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Scott Peters advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 50th congressional district with roughly 48% of the vote, ahead of Republican challenger Steve Cohen at about 40%. The district, redrawn under 2025's Proposition 50, retains a Democratic lean despite a modest reduction in the party's registration edge. Nonpartisan forecasts from the Cook Political Report and similar outlets rate the seat as solid or safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Peters maintains a substantial fundraising lead and benefits from incumbency advantages in a San Diego-area constituency that has favored Democrats in recent cycles. Cohen, a former local news executive, has secured Republican endorsements but trails significantly in resources and polling positioning. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors, though an unforeseen scandal or national political shift could still alter the outcome before ballots are cast.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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