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icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Мяоли

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Мяоли

icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Мяоли

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Мяоли

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for Чжун Тун-чин

Чжун Тун-чин

$689 Объем

89%

icon for Чэнь Пинь-ан

Чэнь Пинь-ан

$819 Объем

7%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Chung Tung-chin holds a commanding position in the Miaoli County magistrate race, with trader consensus reflecting his status as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Rejoining the Kuomintang in September 2025 after winning as an independent in 2022 has secured unified party backing and eliminated intra-bloc challenges in this traditionally KMT-leaning county. Recent 2026 surveys show his overall approval at 75.6 percent with satisfaction exceeding 80 percent in areas such as tourism, social welfare, and economic development, bolstering expectations of re-election. The DPP's November 2025 nomination of county councilor Chen Pin-an provides the main opposition but faces structural headwinds in a county with limited pan-green support historically. Candidate registration opening on August 31 could introduce additional contenders, though none currently appear positioned to alter the outcome significantly.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$1,508
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Incumbent Chung Tung-chin holds a commanding position in the Miaoli County magistrate race, with trader consensus reflecting his status as the clear frontrunner ahead of the November 28, 2026, local elections. Rejoining the Kuomintang in September 2025 after winning as an independent in 2022 has secured unified party backing and eliminated intra-bloc challenges in this traditionally KMT-leaning county. Recent 2026 surveys show his overall approval at 75.6 percent with satisfaction exceeding 80 percent in areas such as tourism, social welfare, and economic development, bolstering expectations of re-election. The DPP's November 2025 nomination of county councilor Chen Pin-an provides the main opposition but faces structural headwinds in a county with limited pan-green support historically. Candidate registration opening on August 31 could introduce additional contenders, though none currently appear positioned to alter the outcome significantly.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$1,508
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Мяоли» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Чжун Тун-чин» с 89%, за ним следует «Чэнь Пинь-ан» с 7%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 89¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Мяоли» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Мяоли», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Мяоли» — «Чжун Тун-чин» с 89%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 89%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Чэнь Пинь-ан» с 7%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Мяоли» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.