**The Michoacán gubernatorial race for the June 2027 election remains highly competitive, with trader prices reflecting a narrow contest driven by Morena’s structural party advantage clashing against Grecia Quiroz’s independent momentum.** Recent June–August 2026 polls show Morena leading overall party preference (often 36–43%), while internal surveys consistently place Carlos Torres Piña ahead of other Morena figures such as Raúl Morón and Fabiola Alanís Sámano. In head-to-head matchups, Quiroz frequently runs within single digits of or ahead of a Morena nominee, fueled by sympathy following the 2025 assassination of her husband, former Uruapan mayor Carlos Manzo, and the “Movimiento del Sombrero” base. Key variables keeping the race tight include widespread voter concern over insecurity (cited as the top issue in multiple surveys), ongoing electoral-reform litigation that could restrict independent candidacies, and fresh investigative lines into Quiroz’s connections to the Manzo case. These elements sustain uncertainty and prevent any candidate from establishing a durable lead in the pre-campaign period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоГресья Кирос 33.7%
Карлос Торрес Пинья 26.6%
Фабиола Аланис Самано 11%
Карлос Эррера Телло 8.1%
$16,464 Объем
$16,464 Объем

Гресья Кирос
34%

Карлос Торрес Пинья
27%

Фабиола Аланис Самано
11%

Карлос Эррера Телло
8%

Эстебан Гонсалес Нава
4%

Эдна Мартинес Намбо
4%

Херман Мартинес Касарес
4%

Гильермо Валенсия Рейес
3%

Марко Кортес Мендоса
3%

Альфонсо Мартинес Алькасар
2%

Даниэла де лос Сантос
2%

Нетцавалькойотль Аланис Луна
1%

Раúl Морón Ороско
1%

Адриана Эрнандес Инигес
<1%

Вíктор Мануэль Манрикес
<1%

Габриэла Молина Агилар
<1%

Ана Лилия Гильен Кирос
<1%

Лейнад Абигайль Рохас Эленес
<1%

Нетзауалкойотль Аларкон Педраса
<1%

Эрнесто Нуньес Агилар
<1%

Гладис Бутанда Масияс
<1%

Селесте Асенсио Ортега
<1%
Гресья Кирос 33.7%
Карлос Торрес Пинья 26.6%
Фабиола Аланис Самано 11%
Карлос Эррера Телло 8.1%
$16,464 Объем
$16,464 Объем

Гресья Кирос
34%

Карлос Торрес Пинья
27%

Фабиола Аланис Самано
11%

Карлос Эррера Телло
8%

Эстебан Гонсалес Нава
4%

Эдна Мартинес Намбо
4%

Херман Мартинес Касарес
4%

Гильермо Валенсия Рейес
3%

Марко Кортес Мендоса
3%

Альфонсо Мартинес Алькасар
2%

Даниэла де лос Сантос
2%

Нетцавалькойотль Аланис Луна
1%

Раúl Морón Ороско
1%

Адриана Эрнандес Инигес
<1%

Вíктор Мануэль Манрикес
<1%

Габриэла Молина Агилар
<1%

Ана Лилия Гильен Кирос
<1%

Лейнад Абигайль Рохас Эленес
<1%

Нетзауалкойотль Аларкон Педраса
<1%

Эрнесто Нуньес Агилар
<1%

Гладис Бутанда Масияс
<1%

Селесте Асенсио Ортега
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Открытие рынка: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**The Michoacán gubernatorial race for the June 2027 election remains highly competitive, with trader prices reflecting a narrow contest driven by Morena’s structural party advantage clashing against Grecia Quiroz’s independent momentum.** Recent June–August 2026 polls show Morena leading overall party preference (often 36–43%), while internal surveys consistently place Carlos Torres Piña ahead of other Morena figures such as Raúl Morón and Fabiola Alanís Sámano. In head-to-head matchups, Quiroz frequently runs within single digits of or ahead of a Morena nominee, fueled by sympathy following the 2025 assassination of her husband, former Uruapan mayor Carlos Manzo, and the “Movimiento del Sombrero” base. Key variables keeping the race tight include widespread voter concern over insecurity (cited as the top issue in multiple surveys), ongoing electoral-reform litigation that could restrict independent candidacies, and fresh investigative lines into Quiroz’s connections to the Manzo case. These elements sustain uncertainty and prevent any candidate from establishing a durable lead in the pre-campaign period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы