Incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 and receives Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, consistent with its southern Piedmont composition and voting patterns. Harris advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Colby Watson secured the nomination after a March primary contest. This structural advantage and incumbency status underpin trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts with this partisan profile.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNC-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NC-08 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$23,767 Объем
$23,767 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
9%
$23,767 Объем
$23,767 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$9,559 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$14,208 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 and receives Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, consistent with its southern Piedmont composition and voting patterns. Harris advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Colby Watson secured the nomination after a March primary contest. This structural advantage and incumbency status underpin trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts with this partisan profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$23,767Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 and receives Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, consistent with its southern Piedmont composition and voting patterns. Harris advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Colby Watson secured the nomination after a March primary contest. This structural advantage and incumbency status underpin trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts with this partisan profile.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$23,767Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Harris holds a commanding position in North Carolina's 8th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in the 91.5% implied probability for the Republican Party. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+10 and receives Solid Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball, consistent with its southern Piedmont composition and voting patterns. Harris advanced unopposed through the Republican primary, while Democrat Colby Watson secured the nomination after a March primary contest. This structural advantage and incumbency status underpin trader consensus. Late developments such as a major scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic midterm surge could still narrow the margin, though such shifts remain uncommon in districts with this partisan profile.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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