Mark Teixeira holds a commanding lead in the TX-21 general election because the open seat sits in a solidly Republican district where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in 2024. After winning the March 2026 Republican primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote amid endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, Teixeira benefits from substantial name recognition as a former MLB player and a large fundraising edge exceeding $3.6 million. Democrat Kristin Hook secured her party’s nomination but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Redistricting that increased the district’s Bexar County footprint has not altered its underlying partisan tilt. Late developments such as turnout surges or unforeseen national shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-21 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$64,159 Объем
$64,159 Объем
Марк Тейшейра (Р)
94%
Кристин Хук (Д)
6%
$64,159 Объем
$64,159 Объем
Марк Тейшейра (Р)
94%
Кристин Хук (Д)
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Mark Teixeira holds a commanding lead in the TX-21 general election because the open seat sits in a solidly Republican district where Donald Trump carried the area by double digits in 2024. After winning the March 2026 Republican primary with roughly 61 percent of the vote amid endorsements from President Trump and House leadership, Teixeira benefits from substantial name recognition as a former MLB player and a large fundraising edge exceeding $3.6 million. Democrat Kristin Hook secured her party’s nomination but faces structural disadvantages in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Redistricting that increased the district’s Bexar County footprint has not altered its underlying partisan tilt. Late developments such as turnout surges or unforeseen national shifts remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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