Incumbent Rick Crawford maintains a commanding lead in the Arkansas 1st congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, his long tenure since 2011, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $940,000 compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green's roughly $65,000. All major race raters classify the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The unopposed primaries and limited Democratic infrastructure further reinforce trader consensus around the outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a broader national political realignment that boosts Democratic turnout in this rural northeastern Arkansas district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAR-01 House Election Winner
AR-01 House Election Winner
$26,840 ปริมาณ
$26,840 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Crawford (R)
97%
Terri Green (D)
2%
$26,840 ปริมาณ
$26,840 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Rick Crawford (R)
$16,491 ปริมาณ
97%
Terri Green (D)
$10,349 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford maintains a commanding lead in the Arkansas 1st congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, his long tenure since 2011, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $940,000 compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green's roughly $65,000. All major race raters classify the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The unopposed primaries and limited Democratic infrastructure further reinforce trader consensus around the outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a broader national political realignment that boosts Democratic turnout in this rural northeastern Arkansas district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,840วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rick Crawford maintains a commanding lead in the Arkansas 1st congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, his long tenure since 2011, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $940,000 compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green's roughly $65,000. All major race raters classify the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The unopposed primaries and limited Democratic infrastructure further reinforce trader consensus around the outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a broader national political realignment that boosts Democratic turnout in this rural northeastern Arkansas district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$26,840วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rick Crawford maintains a commanding lead in the Arkansas 1st congressional district race due to the district's consistent Republican voting patterns, his long tenure since 2011, and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $940,000 compared to Democratic nominee Terri Yarbrough Green's roughly $65,000. All major race raters classify the seat as safe or solid Republican ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The unopposed primaries and limited Democratic infrastructure further reinforce trader consensus around the outcome. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as a significant scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or a broader national political realignment that boosts Democratic turnout in this rural northeastern Arkansas district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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