Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in the CA-38 general election market due to the district’s solidly Democratic character, confirmed by multiple nonpartisan ratings, and her substantial advantages in name recognition and fundraising. As a former U.S. representative, Obama-era labor secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor, Solis topped the June 2026 top-two primary with 47.6 percent, advancing alongside Republican Pedro Casas. The open seat, created by redistricting and the prior incumbent’s decision to run elsewhere, favors Democratic candidates in this Los Angeles–Orange County district. Casas, a psychologist and retired Army officer, faces structural headwinds in a race forecasters rate as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, sharp national political shifts, or turnout surprises could theoretically narrow the gap, though current evidence shows no such factors at play ahead of the November 3 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$63,872 ปริมาณ
$63,872 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Hilda Solis (D)
95%
Pedro Casas (R)
1%
$63,872 ปริมาณ
$63,872 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Hilda Solis (D)
$32,210 ปริมาณ
95%
Pedro Casas (R)
$31,662 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in the CA-38 general election market due to the district’s solidly Democratic character, confirmed by multiple nonpartisan ratings, and her substantial advantages in name recognition and fundraising. As a former U.S. representative, Obama-era labor secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor, Solis topped the June 2026 top-two primary with 47.6 percent, advancing alongside Republican Pedro Casas. The open seat, created by redistricting and the prior incumbent’s decision to run elsewhere, favors Democratic candidates in this Los Angeles–Orange County district. Casas, a psychologist and retired Army officer, faces structural headwinds in a race forecasters rate as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, sharp national political shifts, or turnout surprises could theoretically narrow the gap, though current evidence shows no such factors at play ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,872วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in the CA-38 general election market due to the district’s solidly Democratic character, confirmed by multiple nonpartisan ratings, and her substantial advantages in name recognition and fundraising. As a former U.S. representative, Obama-era labor secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor, Solis topped the June 2026 top-two primary with 47.6 percent, advancing alongside Republican Pedro Casas. The open seat, created by redistricting and the prior incumbent’s decision to run elsewhere, favors Democratic candidates in this Los Angeles–Orange County district. Casas, a psychologist and retired Army officer, faces structural headwinds in a race forecasters rate as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, sharp national political shifts, or turnout surprises could theoretically narrow the gap, though current evidence shows no such factors at play ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,872วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in the CA-38 general election market due to the district’s solidly Democratic character, confirmed by multiple nonpartisan ratings, and her substantial advantages in name recognition and fundraising. As a former U.S. representative, Obama-era labor secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor, Solis topped the June 2026 top-two primary with 47.6 percent, advancing alongside Republican Pedro Casas. The open seat, created by redistricting and the prior incumbent’s decision to run elsewhere, favors Democratic candidates in this Los Angeles–Orange County district. Casas, a psychologist and retired Army officer, faces structural headwinds in a race forecasters rate as safe or solid Democratic. Late developments such as unforeseen scandals, sharp national political shifts, or turnout surprises could theoretically narrow the gap, though current evidence shows no such factors at play ahead of the November 3 contest.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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