The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the Illinois 9th congressional district stems primarily from the seat's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in a D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris's 2024 performance. Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the race, but Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with broad local support as Evanston mayor and former state senator, facing only nominal Republican opposition from John Elleson. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a sharp national Republican surge, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this suburban Chicago district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$31,625 ปริมาณ
$31,625 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Daniel Biss (D)
95%
John Elleson (R)
5%
$31,625 ปริมาณ
$31,625 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Daniel Biss (D)
$17,371 ปริมาณ
95%
John Elleson (R)
$14,254 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the Illinois 9th congressional district stems primarily from the seat's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in a D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris's 2024 performance. Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the race, but Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with broad local support as Evanston mayor and former state senator, facing only nominal Republican opposition from John Elleson. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a sharp national Republican surge, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this suburban Chicago district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,625วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the Illinois 9th congressional district stems primarily from the seat's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in a D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris's 2024 performance. Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the race, but Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with broad local support as Evanston mayor and former state senator, facing only nominal Republican opposition from John Elleson. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a sharp national Republican surge, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this suburban Chicago district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$31,625วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the Illinois 9th congressional district stems primarily from the seat's entrenched partisan lean, reflected in a D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, including Kamala Harris's 2024 performance. Jan Schakowsky's retirement opened the race, but Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary with broad local support as Evanston mayor and former state senator, facing only nominal Republican opposition from John Elleson. Forecasters across outlets rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic. Trader consensus at 94.5% for Democrats aligns with these structural factors. Late developments that could narrow the gap include a sharp national Republican surge, candidate-specific controversies, or unusually low Democratic turnout in this suburban Chicago district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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